TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
www.tigersoft.com/HL888
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt,
Ph.D. www.tigersoft.com
All rights
strictly reserved.
Tiger Software
858-273-5900 PO Box 22784 San Diego, CA 92192 Email
william_schmidt@hotmail.com
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Announcements
-
Tiger/Peerless UPDATE. A new TigerSoft/Peerless update
has been released today.
The new Tiger's update has the new Sell S12. It has the
new QuickSilver table which is produced for any directory's stocks.
It should work well with the stocks in LEVERAGE, HIGHIP21,
MAXCP, MINCP, REDSELL and NEAR65. With this QuickSilver
table displayed, you point the mouse at the symbol and click Graph.
The Peercomm will also allow you to get stock data again from Dial Data.
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8/5/2014
The operative Peerless signal remains a pair of Red Sell 12*s.
For most stocks, there is probably a lot more risk than upside
potential. Looking at the DJI's falling Hourly DISI/OBV,
the retreating NYSE A/D Line, the pattern of lower lows in
the DJI and now, once again, the worsening Red Accumulation,
we Tiger users can see how much technical damage has been
done this elderly bull market. We have no choice but to
remain generally bearish. Even short-term, the key ETFs'
Closing Powers remain in downtrends.
| Hourly DJIA |
| Peerless DJIA |
| SPY and Closing Power Downtrend. |
The Public view of the market is much more optimistic.
They have been distracted by the July-August take-off in
prices in the new NIFTY-FIFTY.
They simply view the market of Blue Chip's as dull and uninteresting.
In so far as they are not licking their wounds and not grumbling
about their personal bad luck in the stock market, their attention
has largely shifted to the exciting advances in most of the current
NIFTY-FIFTY. Seeing this, they still assume the stock market is
quite healthy. In fact, they can't wait to buy these NIFTY-FIFTY stocks
on their next "dips". But this could be dangerous. Unless they are
short-term traders, I think that they are going to lose money and they
are missing the bigger picture. Here's why.
Actually, most of the market's big upside action now is being concentrated
in too few special situations (discussed yesterday) and this era's
highly exclusive "Nifty-Fifty" club.
What we are seeing now
is the opposite of a bullish "broad advance". In fact, the DJI has
been weakening for more than six weeks and most stocks, 75%, are
now below their 65-dma. Only a very small number of very visible
high-performance Growth and Tech stocks are doing well. These
"one-decision", high PE favorites have taken off wildly to the upside.
This is a dangerous divergence. This is exactly what happened
just before the major tops in 1968-1969, 1973 and 2000.
This type
of divergence occurs because aggressive fund managers
start dumping Blue Chips in order desperately to play the relatively
small number of stocks that are still advancing and sporting rising
earnings. Why do they do this? Many Fund Managers must perform
or risk losing their clients. So, these stocks' underpinnings are not
very solid. For one thing, every time one of these stocks makes
a new high, short sellers run for cover, thereby reducing the potential
buyers on weakness.
This NIFTY-FIFTY game is like a game of musical chairs.
Each week,
more and more of these stocks sell-off and quickly lose their special Growth
status. Each week there are fewer and fewer of these Nifty-Fifty still
rising
and above their 65-dma. So incoming investment funds becomes
concentrated in the still rising Nifty-Fifty. This makes those
standing rise even faster. We are seeing this hyperbolic action now.
Last week AAPL broke down below its
65-dma and its neckline
support. It had been warning Tiger users that it was facing heavy
selling for more than a month before this. Its Closing Power had
been making new lows far ahead of price and it showed lots of bearish
Red Distribution. This is a bearish pattern we want to be on the
look-out in these stocks. (More on this tomorrow night.)
recently.
Today it was DISNEY's and
TIME WARNER's turn to break down.
They easily sliced below their 65-dma and fell more than 10%
today. DIS has been rising for months even though its Closing Power
was falling and its Accumulation Index was negative, just like AAPL.
90% of this era's NIFTY-FIFTY are still above their 65-dma.
But we must now watch to see if more and more these stocks get
knocked down. At some point, there will be too few of these stocks
standing to maintain the false appearance that everything is still alright
on Wall Street. By the time the percentage of these stocks above their 65-dma
drops below 50%, the market will be in big trouble. Remember,
these are the last stocks standing.
 |
 |
In sum, all this warns us that any DJIA rally is apt to be limited
and
a DJI rupture of the 17450-17500 support could easily drop the DJI
down another 5% very swiftly. So, hedging with some shorts
among our many
Bearish MINCP stocks is advised. Alternatively,
use the QuickSilver ranking
program and strategy
to find leveraged Short ETFs to buy.
QuickSilver and Leveraged ETFS To Buy
QuickSilver would have you buy the ETFs whose 5-dma is rising
fastest, that
have a rising Opening and Closing Power and an IP21>+.20. Sell when they
close below their Pivot-Price because this would mean their 5-day ma has
turned down.
C:\leverage - 08/05/15 5DAROC Symbol Last 5-dma Pivot Change IP21 AI/200 OP-PWR CP-PWR PCT-Up Daily Vol. notes ==============================================================================================
1072.3 DWTI 139.74 131 115.58 5.29 .26 103 Rising Rising .562 bullish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 907.1 ERY 28.52 26.85 24.35 .65 .31 90 Rising Rising .538 bullish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 734.1 SCO 95.05 90.86 83.49 2.45 .27 127 Rising Rising .566 bullish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 620.7 DUG 67.9 65.13 60.63 .97 .25 87 Rising Rising .55 bullish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 601.2 DTO 100.83 96.83 90.36 2.23 .33 138 Rising Rising .566 bullish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ..... --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -1017.1 NUGT 2.93 3.16 3.25 -.16 -.29 49 Falling Falling .446 bearish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -1031.6 MLPL 33.22 37.69 40.55 -3.77 -.38 77 Rising Falling .506 bearish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -1181.2 UWTI 1.34 1.45 1.67 -.05 -.28 56 Falling Falling .43 bearish --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -2148.9 GASL 5.83 6.81 8.12 -.48 -.49 53 Rising Falling .398 bearish ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/5/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts - Go to www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html 8/5/2015 New Highs: NASD 70 NYSE 74 New Lows: NASD 71 NYSE 195 8/5/2015 Bullish MAXCP Stocks 75 ----> www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-5/Rbullish.html Bearish MINCP Stocks 350--> www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-5/Rbearish.html |
------------------------
Announcements
--------------------------------
E-Books
1
The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2
The On-Line Killer Short
Sales book
Purchase each all new book by CC for
$42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.
I call your
attention now to the many new concepts and
the considerable new research in them:
For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
characteristics that commonly appear
in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in
the deep pullback of 2011.
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PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
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TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
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