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(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt, Ph.D.  www.tigersoft.com    
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Tiger Software  858-273-5900   PO Box 22784   San Diego, CA 92192 Email william_schmidt@hotmail.com  
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Announcements -

           Tiger/Peerless UPDATE.   A new TigerSoft/Peerless update has been released today.
               The new Tiger's update has the new Sell S12.  It has the 
               new QuickSilver table which is produced for any directory's stocks.
               It should work well with the stocks in LEVERAGE, HIGHIP21,
               MAXCP, MINCP, REDSELL and NEAR65. With this QuickSilver
               table displayed, you point the mouse at the symbol and click Graph.
               The Peercomm will also allow you to get stock data again from Dial Data. 
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     8/14/2015   Peerless remains on Red Sell 12*s.    The NYSE A/D Line
                        is still falling.   But the Hourly OBV-DISI Line is clearly in an
                        uptrend.  So, probably the DJI will rally a little, probably next to 17600.
                        This level is where it suddenly reversed at the beginning of this past week.
                        So that should be resistance. 

                        SPY will rally more.  QQQ's prospects are uncertain.    There
                        are a few HIGH-UPPCT and BULLISH MAXCP stocks
                        shown here that should do well until September.  Hold an
                        assortment of BEARISH MINCP stocks short.  These
                        keep slipping downward.

                        With the leveraged ETFs and major ETFs abide by the 5-day
                        ma trends, especially where Closing Power and the levels of
                        IP21 confirm the trend or trend-change.  See below.           

                       
  Hourly DJIA


DJIA
                        





                        The SP-500 is stronger. It has outperformed the DJI by 2.1% over
                        the last 50-trading days.  The Closing Power for SPY has been broken.
                        Expect it to again challenge its falling 65-dma.  SPY's OBV-Line continues
                        to lag.  So, its rally will likely lack enough propellant to make a new high.
                        Higher openings have brought a total of 6.88 SPY points over the
                        last 65 trading days. SPY has closed a total of 7.44 points off its
                        opening price over the last 65-trading days.  It's hard to think that
                        SPY will be able to advance powerfully unless volume rises sharply
                        on any rally in here.  I doubt if the FED can do anything to create
                        an SPY take-off past the flat 210-213 resistance.  I think they have their
                        hands full now just avoiding a bigger sell-off, especially if OIL, Chinese
                        stocks and Developing countries' stocks start another leg down.



                   
                        QQQ has outperformed the DJI by 3.3% over the last 65 trading days,
                        But it is now having a problem rallying up off its rising 65-dma.  Its
                        Closing Power is falling.  This reflects the lengthy decline in its
                        biggest component, AAPL as well as the continuing weakness
                        in biotechs, whose rising price up-channel has been broken.

                       

                                                   Finding The Leaders Left
                                 Using Tiger's "HIUPPCT". Group


                        We have always looked for industry groups whose price action is particularly strong.
                        It is not reassuring about the economy right now that the three main Auto Parts'
                        Stores' stocks are all making new highs.   AAP, AZO and ORLY.  Many, many
                        Americans are studying youtube videos, buying imported auto parts and trying to
                        fix their own older cars. 

                        Certain Tiger directories are still showing stocks that are making new highs,
                        though that number is now down daily to between only 1% and 2% of all
                        NASDAQ and NYSE stocks.  Breakouts into yearly new highs is still
                        the simplest way to find stocks that will advance somewhat higher.
                        But this is risky.  When they become over-extended, they can suddenly
                        violently reverse their directions.  So, I would advise using other
                        Tiger groupings.  The Bullish MAXCPs I provide each night.  And the
                        best of these do move higher, though sometimes following a zig-zag path.

                        A different approach is to employ the Tiger Screens to the HIUPPCT group.
                        These are the stocks that have risen, at least, 55% of the time, day-by-day,
                        this past year.  If they are above their 65-dma, show rising Closing and
                        Opening Powers and high Accumulation, these are  the stocks institutions are
                        still willing to buy because they foresee much higher prices, despite all
                        their misgivings about the general economy.  If you study these stocks, you
                        will quickly see that they have a particularly high percent of the biggest winners,
                        stocks rising , say, +250% for the past year.  I think we should buy these
                        when they make new highs or successfully test their rising 65-dma and have
                        their Closing Powers turn up.  I think you can also buy them when they show a
                        Tiger Buy B17 (IP jump) or a Buy B19 (they have not closed below their
                        21-day ma for 44 straight days, provided the IP21 is above +.05.  (To run this
                        UP% Ranking with any directory use Peercomm + Peerless-2015 + Ranking
                        Results + Tiger Up%....)

                       Right now the following stocks qualify:  
                              SKX (a very Bullish MAXCP),
                              PKB (Building and Construction  ETF, something which a new Public Works'
                              Infrastructure Program  from either a President Trump or Sanders would greatly boost),
                              ORLY (Just paid them $50 for a bottle of AirConditioning refrigerant for car),
                              DTO - SCO - DWTI (leveraged short ETFs on Oil),
                              TREE (see Bullish MAXCPs).
                              TPX (77.77, Would make flat topped breakout on move move above 78 and
                              AAP (AutoParts Store).
 

 
        
                      



       

 
                                                 Bearish Seasonality

                        Though the third year in the 4-year Presidential Cycle is normally quite
                        bullish, the median decline at some point from the DJI's peak to a
                        September or October bottom is 10% since 1945.  So far,
                        the DJI has only fallen 4% from its July peak.

                                  DJI's Declines in 3rd-4th Quarters of
                                         Third Year of Pres. Election

            1947  7/24//1947 6% decline to 7/1947
            1951  9/13/1951 7% decline to 11/8/1951
            1955  9/23/1955 10% decline to 10/10/1955
            1959  8/3/1959 9% decline  to 9/29/1959
            1963  10/23/1963 10% decline to 11/22/1963

            1967  9/25/1967 10% decline to 11/14/1967
            1971  9/7/1971 13.5% decline to 11/23/1971
            1975  9/8/1975 7% decline to 10/1/1975
            1979  10/5/1979 11.5% decline to 11/7/1979
            1983  7/26/1983 6% decline to 8/5/1983

            1987  8/25/1987 36.5% decline to 10/19/1987
            1991  8/7/1991 5% decline to 10/7/1991 
            1995  no declines
            1999  8/25/1999 11% decline to 10/18/1999 

            2003  9/18/2003 4% decline to 9/28/2003
            2007  7/19/2007 10% decline to 8/16/2007
                  10/19/2007 10% decline to 11/26/2007
            2011  7/21/2011 16% decline to 10/3/2011
            2015  7/16/2015 4% decline so far...
 
                          median decline = 10%

                         Watch to see if new lows are made by OIL, YINN and
                         the Tiger Index of Foreign ETFs. This will be quite bearish.

Crude Oil

YINN

Foreign (Non-US) ETFs

C:\dji-30 - 08/14/15
5DAROC        Symbol        Last          5-dma         Pivot         Change        
..............................................................................................
IP21          AI/200        OP-PWR        CP-PWR        PCT-Up   Daily Vol. notes
==============================================================================================

880.1         NUGT          3.84          4.06          3.75          -.16
-.08          49            ?             Falling       .454          vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
749.6         GASL          7.43          7.69          7.84          .08
-.22          53            Falling    Falling     .402          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
119.7         HD            119.75        118.35        117.6         .73
.19           97            Rising        Rising        .542          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
97.6          TECL          36.57         36.5          37.58         .45
.08           120           Falling       ?             .55           vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
55.2          FAS           34.75         34.49         35.37         .7
.19           152           Falling       Rising        .538          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
55.1          OIH           31.12         31.83         32.2          -.34
-.03          82            Falling       ?             .426          vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
49.2          TNA           80.42         80.3          82.24         1.48
0             143           Falling       Falling       .53           vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
44            MDY           273.29        272.73        274.99        1.75
.1            139           Falling       ?             .51           bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
35.1          SPY           209.42        209.25        210.57        .76
.14           119           Falling       ?             .506          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
30.3          DIA           174.9         174.74        176.19        .59
.1            122           Falling       ?             .534          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24            OEX           920.75        920.44        927.47        3.38
.01           116           Rising        Falling       .498          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
19.9          IWM           120.36        120.28        121.26        .77
-.01          143           Falling       Falling      .53           vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
18.9          AAPL          115.96        115.91        119.72        .81
.03           79            Falling       Falling      .498          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 Falling 5-dma trends
-6.6          NKE           114.36        114.17        115.36        .76
.12           121           Rising        ?             .558          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-35.1         GS            202.02        202.31        205.97        1.28
.02           129           Falling       Falling       .53           bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-62.6         IBB           364.06        367.84        371.42        -2.33
-.05          139           Rising        Falling       .55           bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-146.9        SOXL          24.69         25.72         27.36         -.45
.1            149           Falling       Falling       .538          vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-244          OIL           8.05          8.32          8.67          -.07
-.17          77            Falling       Falling       .426          vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-1722.7       DUST          26.7          26.46         29.64         .96
.2            147           Falling       ?             .526          vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8/14/2015   200+ TigerSoft Charts -                                      Go to www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html                          8/14/2015 New Highs: NASD  37      NYSE 31 New Lows:  NASD  41      NYSE 55                                                               8/14/2015  Bullish MAXCP Stocks       73 ---->www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-14/Rbullish.htm                                  Bearish MINCP Stocks       116--> http://www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-14/Rbearish.html

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