TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
www.tigersoft.com/HL888
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt,
Ph.D. www.tigersoft.com
All rights
strictly reserved.
Tiger Software
858-273-5900 PO Box 22784 San Diego, CA 92192 Email
william_schmidt@hotmail.com
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Announcements
-
Tiger/Peerless UPDATE. A new TigerSoft/Peerless update
has been released today.
The new Tiger's update has the new Sell S12. It has the
new QuickSilver table which is produced for any directory's stocks.
It should work well with the stocks in LEVERAGE, HIGHIP21,
MAXCP, MINCP, REDSELL and NEAR65. With this QuickSilver
table displayed, you point the mouse at the symbol and click Graph.
The Peercomm will also allow you to get stock data again from Dial Data.
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8/13/2015 Peerless
remains on Red Sell 12*s. The NYSE A/D Line
is still falling.
Daily volume on up-days is not impressive. The
World Markets
remain weak, as is Oil. It has to be very significant
that China has devalued its currency for a
third straight day.
This is immediately having a bearish impact on many of the
DJI-30 multi-nationals.
The SP-500 and NASDAQ are stronger. But that may not last.
Further weakness by the DJI, especially a drop by it below
the exported support at 17000, will take a psychological toll
on the confidence these other indexes need. So will the
gloomy world economic outlook and the FED's delay in telling
the markets what it will do next month. We see this in the weak
OBV Lines for the SP-500 and OEX. Bulls just are generally not willing
to buy very aggressively. The few exceptions stand out and
do get more attention because they are so scarce. Trade them
carefully and quickly.
Today 4 very high Accumulation stocks surged to new highs.
Special situations like this can be bought, even aggressively on
breakouts, provided one is ready to sell after a small 10%-15%
gain or when their Closing Power trend is broken.
See
www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-13/Rbullish.htm.
Bearish Seasonality
Though the third year in the 4-year Presidential Cycle is normally quite
bullish, the median decline at some point from the DJI's peak to a
September or October bottom is 10% since 1945. So far,
the DJI has only fallen 4% from its July peak.
DJI's Declines in 3rd-4th Quarters of
Third Year of Pres. Election
1947 7/24//1947 6% decline to 7/1947
1951 9/13/1951 7% decline to 11/8/1951
1955 9/23/1955 10% decline to 10/10/1955
1959 8/3/1959 9% decline to 9/29/1959
1963 10/23/1963 10% decline to 11/22/1963
1967 9/25/1967 10% decline to 11/14/1967
1971 9/7/1971 13.5% decline to 11/23/1971
1975 9/8/1975 7% decline to 10/1/1975
1979 10/5/1979 11.5% decline to 11/7/1979
1983 7/26/1983 6% decline to 8/5/1983
1987 8/25/1987 36.5% decline to 10/19/1987
1991 8/7/1991 5% decline to 10/7/1991
1995 no declines
1999 8/25/1999 11% decline to 10/18/1999
2003 9/18/2003 4% decline to 9/28/2003
2007 7/19/2007 10% decline to 8/16/2007
10/19/2007 10% decline to 11/26/2007
2011 7/21/2011 16% decline to 10/3/2011
2015 7/16/2015 4% decline so far...
median decline = 10%
What To Do?
Our Bearish MINCP stocks continue to decline. Hold some of these
short. Sell long positions either when their prices are very over-extended
and break their Closing Power up-trends or when they close below their 65-dma
and their Accumulation Index is below 0. Hold long NUGT. It ought
to double. Gold should keep rising with all this talk of currency
wars
and if the FED announces it will not be raising rates in September. Use
the 5-day
ma pivot-point with the long or short ETFs to see when to close them out.
Watch to see if new lows are made by OIL, YINN and
the Tiger Index of Foreign ETFs. This will be quite bearish.
Crude Oil
 |
YINN
 |
Foreign (Non-US) ETFs
 |
QUICKSILVER RANKING
OF LEVERAGED ETFS
BY 5-day MA AROC (at extremes)
When both Opening and
Closing Power are falling, it is reliably
bearish. This is true now for SOXL, DIA, AAPL, IWM, TNA
and
OIL. Note that only OIL's 5-dma is falling at a rate of
more
than -300%. Short it, but close the short out on Friday
if it
closes above its 5-day ma pivot, 8.46. Today it closed at 8.12
C:\dji-30 - 08/13/15
5DAROC Symbol Last 5-dma Pivot Change
..............................................................................................
IP21 AI/200 OP-PWR CP-PWR PCT-Up Daily Vol. notes
==============================================================================================
19.3 SOXL 25.14 25.88 25.45 -.79
.11 148 Falling Falling .542 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6 MDY 271.54 272.25 270.89 -.05
.07 139 Falling ? .51 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2.5 DIA 174.31 174.53 173.84 .1
.09 122 Falling Falling .534 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
.8 AAPL 115.15 115.82 115.52 -.09
.03 78 Falling Falling .498 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-5 QQQ 110.34 110.58 110.31 -.18
.09 106 ? Falling .542 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-11.5 OEX 917.37 919.56 916.32 -1.6
.03 116 Rising Falling .498 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-20.5 OIH 31.46 31.76 30.77 -.97
-.03 82 Falling Rising .43 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-26.2 FAS 34.05 34.42 34.37 .22
.2 151 Falling Rising .538 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-45.7 IWM 119.59 120.19 119.88 -.4
-.04 144 Falling Falling .53 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-50 IBB 366.39 368.76 368.67 -3.77
-.03 140 Rising Falling .554 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-140.9 TNA 78.94 80.15 79.63 -.83
-.03 143 Falling Falling .53 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-328.8 OIL 8.12 8.4 8.46 -.25
-.16 78 Falling Falling .426 bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
QUICKSILVER RANKING
OF LEVERAGED ETFS
BY 5-day MA AROC (at extremes)
I expect NUGT
to turn up from its rising 5-dma. GASL should
should do the same. Both appear vastly over-sold. Successful
tests of a
very fast rising 5-day mvg. averages should be
good buying
opportunities. When both Opening and Closing
Power are rising, consider buying the ETF near its rising 5-day ma,
but close the trading position out if it closes below its pivot-point.
C:\leverage - 08/13/15
5DAROC Symbol Last 5-dma Pivot Change
..............................................................................................
IP21 AI/200 OP-PWR CP-PWR PCT-Up Daily Vol. notes
==============================================================================================
Rapidly Falling 5-day ma AROCs
1147.2 NUGT 4 3.92 3.15 -.74
-.07 49 ? ? .454 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
782.6 DWTI 167.6 154.84 153.1 12.21
.25 103 Rising Rising .57 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
731.3 USLV 15.05 14.64 13.32 -.34
-.12 90 Rising Rising .478 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
601.4 DYY 4.11 3.92 3.65 .07
-.18 81 ? Rising .361 bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
498.8 AGQ 34.77 34.14 32.1 -.55
-.21 88 Rising Rising .474 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
468.4 SCO 106.34 101.44 101.05 4.59
.21 127 Rising Rising .574 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
425.7 DTO 111.71 106.79 106.21 4.49
.22 138 Rising Rising .574 bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
415.9 UPW 97.7 95.19 93.6 .6
.42 140 Rising Rising .542 bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
350 BZQ 127.22 121.08 122.66 5.59
.1 103 Rising Rising .538 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
331.5 EDZ 43.16 41.25 40.55 .14
-.09 96 Rising Rising .534 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rapidly Falling 5-day ma AROCs
-353.9 EDC 16.03 16.86 17.2 -.05
.03 109 Falling Falling .458 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-408.8 UBR 14.24 15.04 15.06 -.57
-.28 74 Falling Falling .438 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-502.9 UCO 22.56 23.78 24.01 -1.06
-.18 64 Falling Falling .426 bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-509.9 ZSL 111.92 114.14 121.49 1.93
.21 118 Falling Falling .514 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-572.5 LBJ 21.81 23.72 24.26 -1.4
.01 93 Falling Falling .446 vol.fell on down-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-593.5 BRZU 28.13 30.6 30.27 -2.03
-.17 81 Falling Falling .454 bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-639.1 INDL 18.16 19.44 20.75 .01
-.05 98 Falling Falling .526 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-819.9 DSLV 60.98 62.94 69.45 1.5
.2 134 Falling Falling .526 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-890 UWTI 1.08 1.19 1.22 -.1
-.1 56 Falling Falling .426 bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-1817.7 DUST 25.74 28.42 36.49 3.36
.2 147 Falling ? .526 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
------------------------
Announcements
--------------------------------
E-Books
1
The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2
The On-Line Killer Short
Sales book
Purchase each all new book by CC for
$42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.
I call your
attention now to the many new concepts and
the considerable new research in them:
For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
characteristics that commonly appear
in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in
the deep pullback of 2011.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================
8/13/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts - 
