TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
www.tigersoft.com/HL888
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt,
Ph.D. www.tigersoft.com
All rights
strictly reserved.
Tiger Software
858-273-5900 PO Box 22784 San Diego, CA 92192 Email
william_schmidt@hotmail.com
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Announcements
-
Tiger/Peerless UPDATE. A new TigerSoft/Peerless update
has been released today.
The new Tiger's update has the new Sell S12. It has the
new QuickSilver table which is produced for any directory's stocks.
It should work well with the stocks in LEVERAGE, HIGHIP21,
MAXCP, MINCP, REDSELL and NEAR65. With this QuickSilver
table displayed, you point the mouse at the symbol and click Graph.
The Peercomm will also allow you to get stock data again from Dial Data.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8/11/2014 Peerless remains
on Red Sell 12*s. Volume has been
low on rallies and September's bearishness looms ahead.
The Public was duped into buying at the top while Professionals
were heavy sellers. Now both Opening and Closing Powers
are falling. This is associated with very steep declines.
Particularly disturbing now: the collapsing Closing Powers
for 12 of the 30 DJI stocks is sending a most bearish
warning: AAPL, CSCO, CHV, DIS, JNJ, MRK, PG, UNH,
UTX, V, WMT and XOM.
Monday's big +2% gain was completely snuffed out
by today's decline, the eighth down-day in nine days.
Surely this leaves a bitter taste in the mouths of the bulls.
Buyers will be a lot more cautious now; prices are apt to
continue to fall.
While it's true the NYSE A/D Line is not confirming the DJI's
decline, we can look back at how Sell S12s and S9s brought big market
declines in April 1977, February 1984 and April 2002 even
though the A/D Line did not immediately confirm the DJI's
drop below the 65-dma or its new lows.
World Wide Recession Must Be Worsening
Often the DJI tips its hand by how it reacts to news. The
Chinese devaluation yesterday was by only 2%, and it was
to be only a one-time event. Even so, the DJI tumbled nearly
200. Now Wednesday morning, the market's suspicions were proven
correct as the Chinese have devalued a second time,
again by 2%. As a result, the DJI is down another 100 points.
Apparently, there is much more going on here than a simple
currency adjustment. The World Recession must now be rapidly
deepening and Chinese export orders are falling off so fast
that the Chinese Government needs to drop its exports prices to
try to maintain their export industries' jobs. (Despite what
Donald Trump implies, the Chinese are not devaluing mainly
to keep out American manufactured goods. There is not that
much US manufacturing still left!)
If the World Economy really is this weak, it is only a matter
of time before it negatively impacts America. We can only
be a haven for rich foreigners' money so long. Now US
multinationals' sales are headed much lower. CAT and UTX
show this clearly. And this bearish trend will worsen and
broaden if the FED chooses to raise interest rates in these circumstances.
If they raise rates, the Dollar will get even stronger.
While Wall Street Banks want the Dollar to be the World's
strongest currency because it attracts international Hot Money
here and makes US securities and bonds look like the world's safest,
what remains of US manufacturing will be even less able to export or fight
off foreign competition's lower prices. US unemployment will
surely rise, boosting the chances for big changes if Presidential Candidates
Trump
and Sanders continue their surges on this very issue, the
export of American jobs. Trade wars and trade barriers
would seem to be inevitable. Thus, the Smoot Tariff of 1929 shows
trade wars are like playing with fire in a hayloft.
And, making matters very scary, the stock market has been
pumped up artificially by the Fed for years. So now, its decision to raise
rates when the economy is not really strong, could well cause
a dramatic fall in stock market, worsened by how quickly
Professionals can switch to leveraged bearish ETFs, futures and
derivatives.
Though heralded as proof that the US economy was still growing
robustly, the truth is that the recent July jobs' numbers were actually
lower
than July a year ago and June this year. The trend is not UP. It is
down. If the FED does not quickly take off the table a rate
increase in September, I would say that it will be very difficult for
the DJI not to decline 10% more.
I think this is confirmed by the research I have done on what has
happened in the past when the DJI shows a negative (or nearly so)
Accumulation Index for 80 straight days AND when there are 7 straight
down-days for the DJI as it penetrates its 65-dma.
What To Do?
Our Bearish MINCP stocks continue to decline. Hold some of these
short. Sell long positions either when their prices are very over-extended
and break their Closing Power up-trends or when they close below their 65-dma
and their Accumulation Index is below 0. Hold long NUGT. It ought
to double. Gold should keep rising with all this talk of currency
wars
and if the FED announces it will not be raising rates in September. Use
the 5-day
ma pivot-point with the long or short ETFs to see when to close them out.
Watch Oil, YING (Chinese stocks' ETF)
and Tiger's Index of Foreign ETFs
New lows by all three of these will surely be a sign that the World Economy
is weakening dangerously. US multinationals will be the first to be
hit here. US banks with foreign debts will also be threatened. And if the
world markets' decline worsens, foreigners will sell US stock/bond holdings to
remain liquid and solvent. US markets, as extended as they are, then will
not be able to escape an overseas' bear market. Use Tiger's Power Ranker
with the (Foreign) ETF's download to find the weakest international ETFs.
Crude Oil |
YINN |
Foreign (Non-US) ETFs |
Just in Case... (From Monday Night).
Monday's "big jump reminds us that the Sell S12*s are new
Peerless creations. These Sells could prove problematic because
just as it was hard for the classic Peerless to produce a Sell in the
narrowing market of this past year, so, too, it is proving just as hard
to get a Buy signal, even though Friday's low was not confirmed
by all three of the key Peerless Indicators, P-I, V-I and IP21.
Accordingly, let's again watch the NYSE A/D Line downtrend shown below.
If the A/D Line downtrend is broken above, we can treat it as a judged Buy B6.
This was the number of the Buy signal that the original, 1981-1990, Peerless
urged users employ when a well-tested A/D Line trend was broken.
(It may not be broken, but I think we want to be prepared in case it does.
I suspect that the Closing Powers will turn up for DIA, SPY, QQQ etc
about the same time as the A/D Line trend is broken.)"
Extremely weak NUGT should keep rising
now that its 5-day ma has turned up.
|
8/11/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts - Go to www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html 8/11/2015 New Highs: NASD 20 NYSE 27 New Lows: NASD 73 NYSE 80 8/11/2015 Bullish MAXCP Stocks 52 ---->www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-11/Rbullish.htm Bearish MINCP Stocks 169--> www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/8-11/Rbearish.html |
------------------------
Announcements
--------------------------------
E-Books
1
The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2
The On-Line Killer Short
Sales book
Purchase each all new book by CC for
$42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.
I call your
attention now to the many new concepts and
the considerable new research in them:
For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
characteristics that commonly appear
in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in
the deep pullback of 2011.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================