TigerSoft and Peerless Daily Hotline  
   
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt, Ph.D.  www.tigersoft.com    
                 
All rights strictly reserved.  


Tiger Software  858-273-5900   PO Box 22784   San Diego, CA 92192 Email william_schmidt@hotmail.com  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    7/8/2014        The NYSE found a new way to stop for three hours the urgent
                          mid-day panic selling today and prevent the DJI from messily breaking
                          the 17500 support in sympathy with the Chinese plunge.  The "glitch"
                          conveniently kept professional market makers from having to load up on
                          too many shares when the DJI broke 17500, as it was aiming to do,
                          just before trading was artificially stopped because of the so-called
                          computer "glitch".  No doubt Exchange officials used the time to talk
                          productively with the Fed and probably Chinese officials, too. Today
                          the Futures are up +100. By my thinking, the trading delay allowed an
                          organized plan for bulls to be developed which would raise prices,
                          probably with the FED's backing and help.  (Was there really a computer failure?
                          Maybe not. Perhaps, it was heaven-sent.  We all know that Wall Street does
                          "God's Work".)



                          In any case, we should not fight the Fed in this.  I would plan to
                          close out the DIA short if there is another DJI decline below 17600.
                          Another test of the lows may occur when this rally is over.  The Chinese
                          debacle is not over.  Deflation is real.  And the DJI still shows steady red
                          Distribution.  But I would also add that the Hourly DISI Line did not confirm
                          its low made today. That is bullish. The DJI chart's key values also
                          show a positive OBVPct ("OP=.019").  I take this to mean that the selling
                          pressure is now probably not great enough to break the DJI down below 17500.
                       





                          Possibly, the heavy selling pressure in overseas markets will not impact the
                          the US for a while.  A new bailout of Greece has a good chance and it may take
                          a few months for US corporations to see the effects of the 40% sell-off in
                          Chinese stocks, if prices there can not be stabilized simply by having the
                          Government ban big investors' sell orders and lock up trading in hundreds of
                          other Chinese stocks for now. 

                                                        Take Some Short Sale Profits.

                          Most of the short sales among the Bearish MINCP stocks have fallen nicely.
                          Take some profits, especially if their Closing Power's hook back up and
                          break their steep downtrends.  There are not yet many bullish MAXCP stocks
                          with compelling technicals.   Traders will want to be on the alert for stocks or ETFs
                          (like Blue or IWM) whose Closing Powers break their CP downtrends after
                          showing a recent bulge of Accumulation.  So, the close tomorrow will be important
                          to watch.

                          Bank stocks like MA, JPM and GS should give us a good idea of how much the FED
                          may do to shore up the market.  MasterCard and Goldman could still complete
                          bearish head/shoulders.  JP Morgan has completed such a pattern but needs to
                          decline further to make that pattern's bearishness look convincing.

                          All in all, it's probably a good time to wait and see if the market can stage a
                          convincing reversal tomorrow, one where the NYSE advancers out-number decliners
                          by 3.5 or 4+ to 1 and bring us a new Peerless Buy signal.

                               See www.tigersoftware.com/PeerlessStudies/2-day-Up-Reversals/index.htm

                          If there is no such powerful reversal tomorrow, then the 17800 resistance on
                          the DJI will probably bring another reversal downward and there will be
                          another re-test of 17500.  The A/D Line for the 30-DJI stocks is falling
                          at a rate that cannot easily be reversed in only one or even two days.


                                                     
                                 More and More Stocks Have
                    Over Head Resistance at Their 65-dma



                   Index/Sector        Pct.of Stocks
                                              above 65-dma.
                                            today .... yesterday  
                   -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                   DJI-30             13.3%         23.3%     http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTDOWJ.GIF
                                        
oversold
                   SP-500            26.7%         38.4%     http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTSP50.GIF         
                   QQQ               28.6%         36.7%    http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTNASD.GIF
                   Russell-1000    28.9%         37.0%    http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTRUS-.GIF
                   OEX                28.6%         33.7%    http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTSP-1.GIF
                   All Stocks        28.9%         32.6%    http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/DATA65.GIF

 

           The DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM and IBB show similar patterns in that they have
           falling Closing Powers and 5-dma, but their Opening Powers are all rising. 
           usually this is a bearish juxtaposition until the Closing Power downtrends are violated
           and the stocks close back above their 5-day ma pivot-points
 
       ----------------------------------------------------------------
                              7/8 Close     5-day ma       5-dma Annualized    IP21
                                                  Pivot Point     Rate of Change
                  -----------------------------------------------------------------
                  DIA       175               177.4          -23.5%                   -.149
                                  http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/DIA.GIF   
                  SPY       204.53          203.5          -31.4%                  -.072
                                         http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/SPY.GIF 
                  QQQ     106.09          107.92         -44.6%                  -.042
                                         http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/QQQ.GIF
                  IWM       121.99                 125.23               -116.3%                          +.115
                                         http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/IWM.GIF

                  IBB         362.78                  369.9               -83.6%                              +.153
                                        http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/IBB.GIF


                  The most bearish Bearish Big ETFS show "Both Down" condition (opening and closing
                  power falling) and a falling 5-dma.  They should be shorted on rallies back to their
                  falling 5-dma.  In this market, they have shown no ability to rally. 
We need a short-term
                  ranking program that among other things, will rank stocks for the annualized rate of change
                  of their 5-day ma.
 This is currently calculated and shown on the QuickSilver 6-month
                  charts (obtainable using Operation + Six-Month charts after showing the yearly chart of
                  a stock or ETF.

                 
OIH       32.78             33.71          -314.8%                  -.157
                                        http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/OIH.GIF   
    
                  KOL      10.17             11.23          -541%                     -.445
                             
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/KOL.GIF    
                                             

         
 

 wpe1A2.jpg (46062 bytes)   7/8/2015   150+ TigerSoft Charts
                                    Go to http://tigersoftware1.com/HH/ to see them.

New Highs: NASD 7 -17         NYSE  1 -26  
New Lows:  NASD 102 +31    NYSE  135 +72  
                                                 
22  -16     Bullish MAXCPs  http://www.tigersoftware1.com/MAXMIN/7-8/bullish.htm
                                              
 

220 +94   Bearish MINCPs -  http://www.tigersoftware1.com/MAXMIN/7-8/bearish.htm

                 The great plurality of Bearish MINCPs over Bullish MAXCPs
                 warns that Professionals are still bearish many more stocks
                 than they are  bullish.  There is little point in trying to pick a
                 winner on the long side now. 
            History of New Extended Red Sell S12s

          1929  June - bad Sell: failure after price breakout (late Summer rally)
                    3.4% loss - reversed 6 days later by Buy B4.
                    Note DJI was essentially unchanged from what it was 65-days before
                    and showed an OBVPct of +.156.
                    This signal was redundant, as there already was a regular Sell S12.


          1929 September 5- perfect Sell just before Crash! BIG DECLINE
                    +43.3% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.013  PI=-26  IP21= -.109  VI= -454  OBVPct = .112  
                   DJI was up 19% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells.

          1932  November 7 -  premature Sell  64.6 ---> 68.0 ---> 55.9 BIG DECLINE
                  +9.0% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.046  PI=-41  IP21= -.079  VI= -156  OBVPct =  - .069 
                   DJI was up 8.3% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was not as good as the perfect Sell S2 right at top.

          1936 April 2 -
perfect Sell    BIG DECLINE
                  +6.7% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.026  PI=-27  IP21= -.089  VI= -231  OBVPct =  + .198 
                   DJI was up 11.3% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells.

          1936 October 7 - bad Sell. but A/D Line was weak until end of 1936 and this
                   was right after a
perfectly flat-topped breakout.
                   LA/MA = 1.034  PI=-14  IP21= -.051  VI= -105 
OBVPct =  + .253 (too high?)
                   DJI was up 12.2% above its level of 65-days before.

          1959 December 31 -
perfect Sell BIG DECLINE
          1963 December 4 - bad Sell.
                  
Early December is not usually a good time to sell short.
                   LA/MA = 1.015  PI=-58  IP21= -.066  VI= -577  OBVPct =  + .028
                   DJI was up 4.0% above its level of 65-days before.

          1964 June 19 -bad Sell.   - 823 ---> 851 ---> 833 and then up strongly.
                   The loss here would have been small using Peerless.
                   It would have been 2.5% based on Peerless Buy B10 on 6/17/2015

                   LA/MA = 1.011  PI=-11  IP21= -.108  VI= -317  OBVPct =  - .006
                  
DJI was only up 0.8% above its level of 65-days before.    

          1965 April 12 - premature Sell - 906 ---> 939.6 ---> 840  
          1967 April 18 - premature Sell - 873 ---> 909 ---> 847

          1972 August 2 - premature Sell - 944 ---> 970.35 ---> 921.66
          1998 June 29 - premature Sell - 8997.36 ---> 9337.97 ---> 7539.07 BIG DECLINE
          2000 August 7 - premature Sell - 10867 ---> 11311 ---> 7539   BIG DECLINE
          2012 December 5 - premature Sell - 13034 ---> 13351 ---> 12938

          2015 May 19 -
  LA/MA = 1.013  PI= 13  IP21= -.008  VI= -48  OBVPct = .115  
                   DJI was up 1.5% above its level from 65-days before.  

 


  ------------------------     Announcements --------------------------------    

       E-Books
                                   1  The On-Line Explosive Stocks
                               
2   The On-Line Killer Short Sales book
                                       Purchase each all new book by CC for $42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.

                   
  I call your attention now to the many new concepts and
                     the     considerable new research in them:
  For example:
                                   1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low Priced Stocks
                                   2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP uptrend-breaks.
                                   3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you to buy. 
                                   4) 100-Day Power Rankings... 
                                   5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s and B20s.
                                   6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report Is Very important.
                                   7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
                                           Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
                                   8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success Rate.
                                   9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not hold?
                                 10) The classic cluster of  technical characteristics that commonly appear
                                        in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in the deep pullback of 2011.
  
   ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      
   PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:

           A Guide To Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE

       
   Peerless Signals: 1915-2014     
             New   Peerless Signals and DJI Charts  - version 7/4/2013
               1965  1965-6    1966   1966-7    1967    1967-8    1968   1968-9   1969         1969-70   1970      1970-1 1971
               1971-2  1972  1972-3       1973   1973-4   1974        1974-5     1975   1975-6        1976    1976-7        1977 1977-1978
              1978  1978-79        1979   1979-80   1980    1980-1   1981    1981-2   1982     1982-1983        1983    1983-1984
              1984  1984-1985 1985 1985-1986       1986  1986-1987  1987    1987-8  1988 1988-9   1989    1989-90
              1990  1990-1  1991   1991-2  1992   1992-3    1993   1993-4   1994   1994-5   1995        1995-1996   1996
              1996-7       1997      1997-8    1998    1998-1999   1999    1999-2000   2000         2000-1   2001   2001-2   2002
              2002-3       2003   2003-4    2004   2004-5        2005   2005-6    2006    2006-7    2007    2007-8    2008    2008-9
              2009         2009-10       2010    2010-11    2011    2011-12        2012        2012-2013       2013    2013-4    2014

                        Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
                     Different Types of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
                 How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma? 

          -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
             Documentation for TigerSoft Automatic and Optimized Signals.
                 SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma, Optimized Signals.
                  "The Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
                 A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
                 NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
                 Tiger Day Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
                 Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
                              1994   1996  1997  1998  1999        2000 QQQ   SPY
                              DIA       2002      2007       2008       SPY 2011 2013-2014


                 Tiger Buy and Sell Signals: New 2014 Research:
                      These are randomly chosen groups.
                       but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
                       You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
                       for other signals and/or other years.

                  9/1/2014 - 2014 Tiger B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
                       9/2/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
                       9/3/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 60 Biotechs taken alphabetically

                 9/4/2014 - 2014 Tiger B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
*                   9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B20s     - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
                 9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when LA/MA under 1.05.
                   9/11/2014 - 2014 Tiger B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions improved the results dramatically.
                 9/12/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate when other internals are positive.
                
9/15/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat higher RSX capitalization stocks.  
                
9/16/2014 -  New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014:  14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
                
9/17/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
                
9/18/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
                
9/21/2014 - New Tiger Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
                                                       Requiring S8s to show Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
                                                       in a rising market for DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.

                
9/24/2014 - Tiger Sell S14s: They make price  breakdowns very bearish.
               
1/15/2015 - Tiger Day Traders' Tool Explained.
                                         
   http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html  
                                                           http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm     
                                                           http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html   
              NEW   2/16/2015     
                          1) New - Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% 
                                               Note differences between bullish and bearish stocks...
                        2) New - UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
                        3) New - Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
                        4) New - 6-month charts to better show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
                                      More profitable trading schemes coming...
 
                   Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
               
3/29/2015   Tiger CandleSticks: IBB: 2001-2015 and Recent Others.
====================================================================================
                                 
Earlier Hotlines  2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
                                 
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/ 
9/2/2014   - 10/8/2014-
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html     
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
                                  http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html        
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
                                  
Past Hotline Predictions    http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html           
                                                                                                       http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm   
==============================================================================================================================