TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt,
Ph.D. www.tigersoft.com
All rights
strictly reserved.
Tiger Software
858-273-5900 PO Box 22784 San Diego, CA 92192 Email
william_schmidt@hotmail.com
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7/7/2014
I don't think the support at 17500 can hold much longer.
A close below that should be used to sell more long positions,
especially those now below their 65-dma, those with negative
Accumulations Indexes and those whose Closing Power
have fallen below its 21-dma. Even more short sales should
be added. The inability of the market to sustain even a two-day
rally is reminiscent of 2008, just before the DJI and banks stocks
fell most precipitously.
The unusually deep and long Red Distribution of the DJI and
the weakness in the Hourly DJI's DISI-Line should keep us bearish,
|
quite apart from what is going on overseas.
Chinese stocks are in real trouble. Many are not being allowed to
trade. This forces traders, big and small to sell other stocks to
raise capital. What has happened in Greece will lead to demands for
better financing terms from Spain and Portugal. The idea of a single
European currency is in big trouble. This will cause great turmoil
in the financial communities that have been its prime beneficiaries.
It is not clear that the US can escape the one-two punch provided by Greece
and China.
Instead of DIA, I would prefer to be short the weakest (lowest Power Ranked)
stocks
and ETFs among our MINCPs, semi-conductors, leveraged ETFS, Chinese stocks
and foreign ETFs. Accordingly, here is a list of short-sale candidates
now:
FUEL - digital call-centers, 1183 employees, making all-time lows, no
insider buys
is last six months. Not surprising in view of steady red Distribution.
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/FUEL.GIF
AMKR - outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services.
http://www.amkor.com
was 2.5 in 2009
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/AMKR.GIF
KOL - Coal ETF - making all-time lows. Steady red Distribution
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/KOL.GIF
IDX - Indonesia ETF - 20 is near-term support. All-time low is 7.5
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/IDX.GIF
EPU - Peru ETF - 3x leveraged ETF 24 was low (2011)
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/EPU.GIF
BRZU - Brazil - 3x leveraged ETF
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/BRZU.GIF
NUGT - 3x leveraged long on gold mining. Making all time low.
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/NUGT.GIF
OIH - 3x leveraged ETF on oil/gas drilling.drilling/services. All time low is
15.
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/OIH.GIF
GASL - 3x leveraged natural gas ETF Making all time low.
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/GASL.GIF
KNDI - Chinese Electric vehicles. 516 employees. Was 1.0 in 2011
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/KNDI.GIF
.
BABA - online Chinese shopping. Testing all time low.
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/BABA.GIF
More and More Stocks Have
Over Head Resistance at Their 65-dma
Index/Sector Pct.of Stocks
above 65-dma.
today .... yesterday
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DJI-30
23.3%
20.0%
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTDOWJ.GIF
SP-500 38.4% 32.5% http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTSP50.GIF
QQQ 36.7% 33.7%
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTNASD.GIF
Russell-1000 37.0% 34.4%
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTRUS-.GIF
OEX 33.7% 34.7%
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/MASTSP-1.GIF
All Stocks
32.6% 32.2%
http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/DATA65.GIF
The DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM and IBB show similar patterns in that they have falling Closing Powers and 5-dma, but their Opening Powers are all rising. ---------------------------------------------------------------- DIA http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/DIA.GIF SPY http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/SPY.GIF QQQ http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/QQQ.GIF IWM http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/IWM.GIF IBB http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/IBB.GIF The most bearish Bearish Big ETFS show "Both Down" condition (opening and closing power falling) and a falling 5-dma. They should be shorted on rallies back to their falling 5-dma. In this market, they show no ability to rally. OIH http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/OIH.GIF KOL http://www.tigersoftware1.com/HH/KOL.GIF
|
7/7/2015 150+ TigerSoft Charts Go to http://tigersoftware1.com/HH/ to see them. New Highs: NASD 24 +6 NYSE 27 +8 New Lows: NASD 71 -9 NYSE 63 -68 38 +2 Bullish MAXCPs http://www.tigersoftware1.com/MAXMIN/7-3/bullish.htm 126-58 Bearish MINCPs - http://www.tigersoftware1.com/MAXMIN/7-3/bearish.htm The great plurality of Bearish MINCPs over Bullish MAXCPs warns that Professionals are still bearish many more stocks than they are bullish. There is little point in trying to pick a winner on the long side now. |
History of New Extended
Red Sell S12s 1929 June - bad Sell: failure after price breakout (late Summer rally) 3.4% loss - reversed 6 days later by Buy B4. Note DJI was essentially unchanged from what it was 65-days before and showed an OBVPct of +.156. This signal was redundant, as there already was a regular Sell S12. 1929 September 5- perfect Sell just before Crash! BIG DECLINE +43.3% gain LA/MA = 1.013 PI=-26 IP21= -.109 VI= -454 OBVPct = .112 DJI was up 19% above its level of 65-days before. This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells. 1932 November 7 - premature Sell 64.6 ---> 68.0 ---> 55.9 BIG DECLINE +9.0% gain LA/MA = 1.046 PI=-41 IP21= -.079 VI= -156 OBVPct = - .069 DJI was up 8.3% above its level of 65-days before. This signal was not as good as the perfect Sell S2 right at top. 1936 April 2 - perfect Sell BIG DECLINE +6.7% gain LA/MA = 1.026 PI=-27 IP21= -.089 VI= -231 OBVPct = + .198 DJI was up 11.3% above its level of 65-days before. This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells. 1936 October 7 - bad Sell. but A/D Line was weak until end of 1936 and this was right after a perfectly flat-topped breakout. LA/MA = 1.034 PI=-14 IP21= -.051 VI= -105 OBVPct = + .253 (too high?) DJI was up 12.2% above its level of 65-days before. 1959 December 31 - perfect Sell BIG DECLINE 1963 December 4 - bad Sell. Early December is not usually a good time to sell short. LA/MA = 1.015 PI=-58 IP21= -.066 VI= -577 OBVPct = + .028 DJI was up 4.0% above its level of 65-days before. 1964 June 19 -bad Sell. - 823 ---> 851 ---> 833 and then up strongly. The loss here would have been small using Peerless. It would have been 2.5% based on Peerless Buy B10 on 6/17/2015 LA/MA = 1.011 PI=-11 IP21= -.108 VI= -317 OBVPct = - .006 DJI was only up 0.8% above its level of 65-days before. 1965 April 12 - premature Sell - 906 ---> 939.6 ---> 840 1967 April 18 - premature Sell - 873 ---> 909 ---> 847 1972 August 2 - premature Sell - 944 ---> 970.35 ---> 921.66 1998 June 29 - premature Sell - 8997.36 ---> 9337.97 ---> 7539.07 BIG DECLINE 2000 August 7 - premature Sell - 10867 ---> 11311 ---> 7539 BIG DECLINE 2012 December 5 - premature Sell - 13034 ---> 13351 ---> 12938 2015 May 19 - LA/MA = 1.013 PI= 13 IP21= -.008 VI= -48 OBVPct = .115 DJI was up 1.5% above its level from 65-days before. |
------------------------
Announcements
--------------------------------
E-Books
1
The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2
The On-Line Killer Short
Sales book
Purchase each all new book by CC for
$42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.
I call your
attention now to the many new concepts and
the considerable new research in them:
For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
characteristics that commonly appear
in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in
the deep pullback of 2011.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
Peerless Signals: 1915-2014
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================