TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt,
Ph.D. www.tigersoft.com
All rights
strictly reserved.
Tiger Software
858-273-5900 PO Box 22784 San Diego, CA 92192 Email
william_schmidt@hotmail.com
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Announcements
-
IUn additon, a new TigerSoft/Peerless update will be released Monday night.
But first tomorrow I must send out the new addresses for all our sites:
Data, Hotline and ESP Page..
The new Tiger's update has the new Sell S12. It has the
new QuickSilver table which is produced for any directory's stocks.
It should work well with the stocks in LEVERAGE, HIGHIP21,
MAXCP, MINCP, REDSELL and NEAR65. With this QuickSilver
table displayed, you point the mouse at the symbol and click Graph.
The Peercomm will also allow you to get stock data again from Dial Data.
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7/31/2014 A
New Peerless Buy B21*? No, but a limited rally by the
DJI to its 65-dma 260 points higher seems likely given its now
rising 5-dma and the need for the 5-day Stochastic to
go higher before, it can give a Sell. Aggressive short-term
traders should consider buying NUGT. And if Gold rises,
so should Oil and other beaten down natural resource stocks.
That should be a short-term boost for the market.
I posed the question Thursday night whether we should
consider the DJI's Accumulation turning positive above a +.05
to be reversing Buy signal on our red Sell S12* after 80+ days of
red or nearly negative Accumulation Index.
The biggest theoretical problem is that there has not been a case
like this
in the last 50 years. But there are many other arguments
against considering the Sell S12* reversed.
(1) the heavy (red) down volume of Friday. Though there were 804
more up than down on the NYSE, Down Volume was heavier than
Up Volume and the DJI fell 56, the result of the 8 point decline
in CVX and XOM, as Crude Oil threatens to make new lows.
(2) Note also the DJI's pattern of lower price lows and the negative set of
key current values. This would seem to limit the DJI's upside
potential to its rising 65-dma.
(3) the very weak Hourly DJIA's OBV/DISI Line.
(4) See the continuing downtrends of Closing Power in the DIA and
SPY below. If these are broken, this would give the DJI a good chance
to rally back up to the resistance of its falling 65-dma. In a week this
would probably set up another set of automatic Stochastic red and blue
Sells.
5) Only 1/4 of all the 6000 stocks and ETFs we follow are
above their 65-dma. There is a lot of overhead resistance
for the market to overcome before the bearish month of September.
|
6) Consider the possibility of a new wave of Deflation if Crude Oil
cannot find support where it is. See the falling commodity prices
first and then see how close Crude Oil is to plunging below its
current support. OIL needs to rise by +.05 to reverse the falling
5-day ma. Otherwise, the support may be broken.
7) What more can the Fed do now to boost the market? Yellen said
this past week that the FED will need to see more signs of rising wages
and a stronger labor market to increase rates. That has helped dividend
stocks on the NYSE. But is that enough to hold the market up if
there is world-wide Deflation. A breakdown in prices by Chinese
stocks would be a bad sign in this regard.
8) And why is the Fed so unwilling to let the DJI fall any more than 5%
from its highs. Could it be that they appreciate how fast the market
would then fall, given all the leveraged short ETFS that
Professionals now have to employ to play the decline.
Remember how Warren Buffet called the leveraged derivatives
of 2008 "WMD's" (weapons of mass financial destruction.). There are now
many more leveraged short ETFs. Professionals will presumably
quickly buy these very aggressively. This could be very dangerous
for US markets next month.
BUY NUGT
Meanwhile, NUGT looks like it could easily rebound 50%-100% in a
week or two. Not all gold producers are showing earnings deficits.
So, NUGT will not go to zero, at least not before it jumps back to 6 or 8,
assuming its 5-dma turns up tomorrow.
.
The Leveraged ETFs' Tail Wags The Dog.
I believe that much of the speed of the decline in Gold stocks since
2011 owes to the widespread use of NUGT and DUST, the 3x leveraged
ETFs for Gold Miners. If I am right about this, then only very bad things
will happen to the stock market once a downtrend becomes established.
and Professional traders swoop in and buy the leveraged short ETFs on
the general market. We will watch these leveraged Short ETFs (below) to
see if their
5-dma turns up. That has not happened yet. Thus, for example, the data
below show that
FAZ (3x-leveraged Finance stocks has 5-dma that is falling at an annualized
rate of -71.3%, its Opening and Closing Power are falling and this
short ETF closed
at 10.38 and would need to close tomorrow above 10.8 to turn up its 5-day ma.
LEVERAGED SHORT ETFS TO WATCH - 07/31/15
5DAROC Symbol Last 5-dma Pivot Change ..............................................................................................
IP21 AI/200 OP-PWR CP-PWR PCT-Up Daily Vol. notes
==============================================================================================
-71.3 FAZ 10.38 10.49 10.8 .08
-.21 52 Falling Falling .43 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-71.2 DXD 20.92 21.02 21.53 .13
-.12 89 Falling Rising .442 bullish
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-78.7 QID 31.98 32.32 33.03 .07
-.1 92 Falling ? .438 vol.fell on up-day
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-117.9 SDS 20.1 20.27 20.83 .07
-.08 65 Falling Rising .466 bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-175.9 TZA 9.89 10.16 10.51 -.16
-.06 39 ? Rising .438 bearish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-185.6 SPXU 32.73 33.17 34.6 .13
-.07 73 Falling Rising .478 bullish
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
August, generally speaking, is not great month for the market. But
it is
much better in the third year in the four year Presidential cycle. So,
there should be more of a rally. But let's stick with the Sell S12.
And if the Accumulation Index quickly turns negative again, the DJI will look
much
like it did in February 1966 at 790, just before a nine month decline to 750.
At the very least, most we might want to wait to
see the NYSE A/D Line
downtrend be broken to nullify the
Red Sell S12. And even if that happens,
the rally may not take the DJI up past 18200, only 3% higher. That is what
happened a month ago.
I would say that the new "nifty fifty" could do well. QQQ could reach
118 and IBB could get a little past 400. Short term traders should
consider
buying NUGT because of how very oversold it is and because its 5-dma will
probably turn up tomorrow. Gold Futures are up.
7/31/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts of ETFs and Key Stocks.
=====>
Go to
www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html
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Announcements
--------------------------------
E-Books
1
The On-Line Explosive Stocks
2
The On-Line Killer Short
Sales book
Purchase each all new book by CC for
$42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.
I call your
attention now to the many new concepts and
the considerable new research in them:
For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
characteristics that commonly appear
in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in
the deep pullback of 2011.
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PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
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TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================
7/31/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts - 
