its key support will hit the NASDAQ "last men standing" very hard.
TigerSoft and Peerless Daily
Hotline
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------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7/24/2014 The operative Peerless
signal remains a Red Sell S12*.
DJI's Accumulation Index has been negative or nearly
so for four months. Rallies in the DJI keep getting snuffed out.
Institutions are heavy net sellers of blue chips and dividend
stocks on the NYSE now that the FED has become
unofficially committed to raising rates in the next few months.
The DJI has fallen to the 17500-17550 support. It may bounce,
but breadth, volume, Closing Power are all bearish. It is not
likely even it will rally very much.
The signs of serious Deflation are descending on our times,
much as they did in 1929 and all the media can talk about is
Donald Trump. That's reason enough to want the market to
prove itself before we become serious buyers again. Hold
lots of our Bearish MINCP stocks short.
| DJI |
| Hourly DJIA |
| SPY |
| NASDAQ is still above its
rising 65-dma. I expect that any DJI breaking of its key support will hit the NASDAQ "last men standing" very hard. |
The Wolf of Deflation Is Circling The Global Village
Gold stocks, at least, stopped falling today. But Friday reversals
in a bear market should not be trusted. Oil and oil services
stocks were particularly weak. Their support levels have
mostly given way. There will now be a lack of buyers until their
prices have been substantially marked down. Industrial materials' stocks,
railroad stocks and semi-conductors were also leaders to
the downside. The wolf of world wide Deflation is circling the
global economy. Deflation is a self-perpetuating downward
spiral based on fear and the avoidance of major purchases
or starting new enterprises. When profits turn down, so will
the stock market. And when the lay-offs begin, Government
will have to be the employer of last resort. Not a pretty picture,
Deflation.
So, I think that we must avoid the long side if the DJI cannot hold
above 17500. A clear break below 17450 could well usher in
a quick DJI drop below 17000 unless the Federal Reserve can
figure out what it can still do to hold the market up. In the event of
a close below 17450, I think that I would then only want to
be short the market using our Bearish MINCPs and some leveraged
shorts I will talk about Monday night whose Closing Power and Opening
Power are both falling, whose IP21 is below -.15 and whose
5-day ma is falling rapidly, below -500^ when annualized.
Shadows of 1929 Loom Large
It is impossible for me to watch the steepdecline in nearly
all commodities now and not to be reminded of how this was one
of the bearish hallmarks of the late 1920s. A third of the population
still lived in rural areas in the mid 1920s. This population was
becoming more and more impoverished. The stock market boom
left millions behind. Sound familiar? Yet as stock prices rose,
so did productive capacity, and more and more goods were produced,
for which there was insufficient demand. When stocks broke down,
massive lay-offs quickly followed and so the Depression was born.
When you add in the similarities between the 1920s and now in the
area of: gaping malistribution of wealth, rising stock prices based on
more on speculation and corporate mergers instead of real growth
in profits, in the widespread use of leveraged trading, the entrenched
popularity of fiscal austerity fiscal among the dominant political elites
and a Fed that seemingly wants now to reign in what it sees as
excessive stock speculation, no matter the cost to a fragile economy...
it has to spell trouble, especially with prices up so much without as much as a
10% correction since 2011. When we see all these parallels with the
1920s it's very hard not to be downright-scared. And then there's
the obvious: many investors are convinced that a hefty proportion of the whole
rally from DJI 6500 (in March to 2009) to 18300 (in June 2015) owes
primarily the Feds giving trillions of Dollars to the Big Banks unconditionally,
mainly so that they could bid up share prices. Though artificial, the Fed
believed that there would be a "trickle-down" of benefits to Main Street
and the rest of the economy, once the economy was jump-started in 2009.
But did the Fed make Wall Street completely dependent on the Fed?
That's bad enough! But now add in in all the clever ways Professionals can
use leverage to sell short a declining market on down-ticks without
even borrowing the stock. All of which makes me scared. The
market
has yet to prove that it can withstand all these negative forces. Until it
does,
it will be vbulnerable.
Commodity Deflation
Deflation Will Help Some Dow Components for A
While
Deflation does have its fans, those who will benefit from it.
Banks and lenders generally like it a lot when they are paid back in
Dollars that are worth more than when they loaned the money out.
So Deflation will help JPM and GS in the DJI-30. GS will also
quickly adapt to a declining market using leveraged shorts Retailers
like NKE and SBUX that can now import things more cheaply that
they later sell in the US. So, they are secretly pleased with the |
world-wide Deflation. And since the Dollar's strength may give reason for
the
Fed to pause in raising rates, HD in the DJI is also holding up well.
Of course, Deflation and the strong Dollar do hurt some of the stocks
in the DJI, like CAT and UTX as well as the oil producers, CVX and XOM.
And AAPL's biggest market is in China. World-wide deflation will
hit China hard and thus eventually hurt AAPL. And VISA will suffer to,
from a world-wide slow down in world-wide trade. But it's stock's
continued
rise shows, I think, that the US economy has not yet reached a dangerous
tipping point. The US economy has still not been hurt seriously by
the slow-down in the world-wide economy or mortally wounded by a
premature jump in interest rates.
.So, the DJI is tricky. It typically holds up longer than the average
stock or
the NYSE A/D Line. Part of the reason is the way it is weighted.
The Dow Jones Company weights its namesake's components
by price alone. So as individual DJI stocks fall, they are weighted less.
This holds the DJI-30 up for a while.
7/24/2015 200+ TigerSoft Charts Go to www.tigersoftware.com/HH/index.html to see them. New Highs: NASD 18 NYSE 16 New Lows: NASD 162 NYSE 303 23 7/24/2015 Bullish MAXCP Stocks ----> www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/7-24/bullish.html MSCI RARE ILMN 534 Bearish MINCP STOCKS ---> www.tigersoftware.com/MAXMIN/maxmin/7-24/bearish.htm ECA FCG SGY WY MVO TIVO GRAM KORS ISH GLRE WYNN BLT TKR CPN |
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I call your
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For example:
1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low
Priced Stocks
2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP
uptrend-breaks.
3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you
to buy.
4) 100-Day Power Rankings...
5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s
and B20s.
6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report
Is Very important.
7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success
Rate.
9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not
hold?
10) The classic cluster of technical
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----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:
A Guide To
Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE
New Peerless Signals and DJI Charts - version 7/4/2013
1965
1965-6 1966
1966-7 1967
1967-8 1968
1968-9 1969
1969-70
1970
1970-1
1971
1971-2 1972
1972-3
1973 1973-4
1974
1974-5 1975
1975-6
1976 1976-7
1977
1977-1978
1978
1978-79
1979 1979-80
1980 1980-1
1981 1981-2
1982 1982-1983
1983 1983-1984
1984
1984-1985
1985
1985-1986
1986 1986-1987
1987 1987-8
1988
1988-9 1989
1989-90
1990
1990-1 1991
1991-2 1992
1992-3 1993
1993-4 1994
1994-5 1995
1995-1996
1996
1996-7 1997
1997-8 1998
1998-1999 1999
1999-2000 2000
2000-1
2001 2001-2
2002
2002-3 2003
2003-4 2004
2004-5
2005 2005-6
2006 2006-7
2007 2007-8
2008 2008-9
2009
2009-10
2010 2010-11
2011 2011-12
2012
2012-2013
2013 2013-4 2014
Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
Different Types
of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
Documentation for TigerSoft
Automatic and Optimized Signals.
SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma,
Optimized Signals.
"The
Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
Tiger Day
Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
1994
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000 QQQ
SPY
DIA
2002
2007
2008
SPY 2011
2013-2014
Tiger Buy and Sell
Signals: New 2014 Research:
These are randomly chosen
groups.
but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
for other signals and/or other years.
9/1/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
9/2/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
9/3/2014 -
2014 Tiger B17s on 60
Biotechs taken alphabetically
9/4/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
* 9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B20s - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
9/8/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when
LA/MA under 1.05.
9/11/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions
improved the results dramatically.
9/12/2014 -
2014 Tiger
B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate
when other internals are positive.
9/15/2014 -
2014 Tiger B25s -
Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat
higher RSX capitalization stocks.
9/16/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014: 14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
9/17/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
9/18/2014 -
New Tiger
Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
9/21/2014 -
New Tiger
Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
Requiring S8s to show
Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
in a rising market for
DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.
9/24/2014 -
Tiger Sell
S14s: They make price breakdowns very bearish.
1/15/2015
-
Tiger Day
Traders' Tool Explained.
http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm
http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html
NEW
2/16/2015
1) New -
Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up%
Note differences between bullish
and bearish stocks...
2) New -
UP%,
Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
3) New -
Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
4) New -
6-month charts to better
show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
More profitable trading schemes coming...
Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
3/29/2015
Tiger CandleSticks:
IBB: 2001-2015
and
Recent Others.
====================================================================================
Earlier Hotlines
2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/
9/2/2014 - 10/8/2014-
http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
Past
Hotline Predictions
http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html
http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm
==============================================================================================================================
