TigerSoft and Peerless Daily Hotline  
   
(C) 1985-2015 William Schmidt, Ph.D.  www.tigersoft.com    
                 
All rights strictly reserved.  


     Tiger Software  858-273-5900   
PO Box 22784   San Diego, CA 92192 Email william_schmidt@hotmail.com  

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         6/24/2015    DJI's Internal Weakness Predicts Another Key Test of 17700.
         This is an easy prediction to make.  Short DIA on its strong opening tomorrow
         but hold long IBB and IWM.


                1)  The DJI's Accumulation Index remains negative, just as it has been
         for nearly 60 trading days.  This represents a stunning amount of steady distribution
         of stock on intra-day strength by Institutions.  (See DJI's "Data" chart).  This is
         what has produced the new Red Peerless Sell S12.  It warns that the 17700 support
         may well give way in the next month.  The upside potential for the DJI is just too limited
         for most traders to keep supporting the DJI at 17700. 

                 2) The declining NYSE A/D Line trend shows the abundant selling
         in bonds, REITs, and the majority of dividend stocks.  (See NYSE A/D Line
         on DJI's "Data" chart).  In fact, only 2.4% of utilities, only 4.7% of bond
|        funds and only 12.5% of utilities are above their 65-dma. (See DJI's "Data" chart).
         The market is adjusting to the increasing likelihood of higher interest rates.



                 3) The truly terrible looking bearish divergence between the
         Hourly DJI and its Hourly DISI/OBV Line warns that aggressive selling
         in the highly visible and potent DJI stocks has now become a well-established
         pattern. 


                  The only question now is how much of these funds will go into smaller
         NASDAQ stocks.  A little money can go a long ways in smaller stocks.
         We know that new high-performance money is being re-channeled into
         aggressive purchases on the best performing biotechs  and ETFs like IWM and IBB
         These showed excellent flat topped breakouts last week.  Their Closing Powers
         and 5-dma are still rising.  The point of breakout should act as support, too.
         See their high current Accumulation (IP21) and rising Closing Powers.

                  Unfortunately, the NASDAQ's very weak OBV-Percent warns us
         that the NASDAQ may not be able to make a big advance like it did in
|        early 2000.



                  And, we should be concerned if much of the hot money that boosted
         the DJI and SP-500 with aggressive buying of their futures and long ETFs
         using virtually free money from the FED chooses to take profits.  Or much worse,
         decides to playing leveraged short ETFs on the DJI and the SP-500.  The DJI's
         17700 support-level would probably then not be able to hold up for more than
         a month more.  New head and shoulders patterns could then be completed,
         giving a DJI target 1000 points below the close today.

                 Today, we saw Professionals reverse to new net short positions on DIA. 
         See the break in the DIA's briefly rising blue Closing Power on DIA chart.
         It is our invitation now to short DIA.

 
                                                Tiger's New Charting Tool:
                            The Percentage of all stocks above the support of the 65-dma.


                             The oscillator above shows that 50% of all stocks are still
                             below the resistance of their 65-dma  The downtrendline of the last
                             6 weeks has been broken. 
                                   
                                        6/24/2015              
                                        Index/Sector        Pct.of Stocks
                                                                  above 65-dma.
                                                                 today .... yesterday  
                                        --------------------------------------
                                        DJI                  40%..........50.0%    -10%   Big drop in underlying support.  
                                        SP-500            44.6%.......51.0%      
                                        QQQ               49.0%.......55.1%  
                                        Russell-1000    47.0%.......53.4%  
                                        All Stocks         47.1%......50.1%      

                            
                                                       
quicksilver.jpg (21236 bytes)

         6/24/2015

         Let's watch closely some of the most important ETFs short-term trends.  We want
         to be long ETFs that show rising Closing Powers and have a rising 5-dma, provided their IP21
         is above, say, +.23 now.  Traders can use the 5-day ma pivot-points to spot short-term
         reversals.  The opposite is true of short sales, like OIH and KOL.  In both longs and
         shorts, the best short-term positions are taken on retreats to the trending 5-day ma.
         Use the upper bands to take profits if the stock is in a trading range.  These are shown
         on the Tiger 6-month charts. 

....................Observations.
----------------------------------------------------------------
==>   DIA     5-day ma is now falling and will not turn up unless DJI closes above 181.33.             .  
         SPY     
         QQQ   
==>  IWM    Closing Power is rising.  
High IP21.
         SOXL  
         TECL 
==>  
IBB     Closing Power is rising. High IP21.
          
FAS   

        
Other ETFS
        
         OIL    
         OIH    
         KOL    
         GLD
         SLV  

            History of New Extended Red Sell S12s

          1929  June - bad Sell: failure after price breakout (late Summer rally)
                    3.4% loss - reversed 6 days later by Buy B4.
                    Note DJI was essentially unchanged from what it was 65-days before
                    and showed an OBVPct of +.156.
                    This signal was redundant, as there already was a regular Sell S12.


          1929 September 5- perfect Sell just before Crash! BIG DECLINE
                    +43.3% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.013  PI=-26  IP21= -.109  VI= -454  OBVPct = .112  
                   DJI was up 19% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells.

          1932  November 7 -  premature Sell  64.6 ---> 68.0 ---> 55.9 BIG DECLINE
                  +9.0% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.046  PI=-41  IP21= -.079  VI= -156  OBVPct =  - .069 
                   DJI was up 8.3% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was not as good as the perfect Sell S2 right at top.

          1936 April 2 -
perfect Sell    BIG DECLINE
                  +6.7% gain
                   LA/MA = 1.026  PI=-27  IP21= -.089  VI= -231  OBVPct =  + .198 
                   DJI was up 11.3% above its level of 65-days before.
                   This signal was redundant, as there already were a variety of Peerless Sells.

          1936 October 7 - bad Sell. but A/D Line was weak until end of 1936 and this
                   was right after a
perfectly flat-topped breakout.
                   LA/MA = 1.034  PI=-14  IP21= -.051  VI= -105 
OBVPct =  + .253 (too high?)
                   DJI was up 12.2% above its level of 65-days before.

          1959 December 31 -
perfect Sell BIG DECLINE
          1963 December 4 - bad Sell.
                  
Early December is not usually a good time to sell short.
                   LA/MA = 1.015  PI=-58  IP21= -.066  VI= -577  OBVPct =  + .028
                   DJI was up 4.0% above its level of 65-days before.

          1964 June 19 -bad Sell.   - 823 ---> 851 ---> 833 and then up strongly.
                   The loss here would have been small using Peerless.
                   It would have been 2.5% based on Peerless Buy B10 on 6/17/2015

                   LA/MA = 1.011  PI=-11  IP21= -.108  VI= -317  OBVPct =  - .006
                  
DJI was only up 0.8% above its level of 65-days before.    

          1965 April 12 - premature Sell - 906 ---> 939.6 ---> 840  
          1967 April 18 - premature Sell - 873 ---> 909 ---> 847

          1972 August 2 - premature Sell - 944 ---> 970.35 ---> 921.66
          1998 June 29 - premature Sell - 8997.36 ---> 9337.97 ---> 7539.07 BIG DECLINE
          2000 August 7 - premature Sell - 10867 ---> 11311 ---> 7539   BIG DECLINE
          2012 December 5 - premature Sell - 13034 ---> 13351 ---> 12938

          2015 May 19 -
  LA/MA = 1.013  PI= 13  IP21= -.008  VI= -48  OBVPct = .115  
                   DJI was up 1.5% above its level from 65-days before.  

 

 

 
6/24/2015   The charts I usually place here cannot be shown using this new server. 
                   It loads them way too slowly.  What I would like soon to try is posting them on
                   www.tigersoftware1.com and providing links from here to them.
                   I also want to encourage you to run our software.  I can load
                   the latest version of Tiger and Peerless in a fast Dell XP laptop
                   and send it to you for only $160.  You can then get the data
                   from me for $175/year or use TC-2000 for $30/month.  Unfortunately,
                   they do not provide the necessary data to run Peerless.  That
                   data would have to be put in by hand.

New Highs: NASD 35        NYSE  17    Sum =  42
New Lows:  NASD 17        NYSE  30    Sum =  50+8
                                                 
65 -90 Bullish MAXCP Stocks: 
 
MKTX  WD  IBKR  WIBC  IIVI  TREE  RPTR   

90 +25     Bearish MAXCP Stocks: 
TVIK CTL   BBEP  CBA   GLF  DSW   ISH  LFL  FUEL  DDD  REM


  ------------------------     Announcements --------------------------------    

       E-Books
                                   1  The On-Line Explosive Stocks
                               
2   The On-Line Killer Short Sales book
                                       Purchase each all new book by CC for $42.50 or send a check for $37.50 to me.

                   
  I call your attention now to the many new concepts and
                     the     considerable new research in them:
  For example:
                                   1) A very good New Tiger Buy B12 for Low Priced Stocks
                                   2) After Red high volume reversal days use CP uptrend-breaks.
                                   3) Buy the stocks the Federal Govt wants you to buy. 
                                   4) 100-Day Power Rankings... 
                                   5) Using Closing Power Hooks after Buy B26s and B20s.
                                   6) How A Stock Reacts to Its Earnings Report Is Very important.
                                   7) TigerSoft Major Buy Signals' Combinations
                                           Which are most Powerful? Reliable?
                                   8) Augmented Buy B20s' Independent Success Rate.
                                   9) What factors warn a rising 65-dma will not hold?
                                 10) The classic cluster of  technical characteristics that commonly appear
                                        in the 23 stocks falling 70% or more in the deep pullback of 2011.
  
   ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      
   PEERLESS STOCK MARKET TIMING:

           A Guide To Profitably Using The Tiger Nightly HOTLINE

       
   Peerless Signals: 1915-2014     
             New   Peerless Signals and DJI Charts  - version 7/4/2013
               1965  1965-6    1966   1966-7    1967    1967-8    1968   1968-9   1969         1969-70   1970      1970-1 1971
               1971-2  1972  1972-3       1973   1973-4   1974        1974-5     1975   1975-6        1976    1976-7        1977 1977-1978
              1978  1978-79        1979   1979-80   1980    1980-1   1981    1981-2   1982     1982-1983        1983    1983-1984
              1984  1984-1985 1985 1985-1986       1986  1986-1987  1987    1987-8  1988 1988-9   1989    1989-90
              1990  1990-1  1991   1991-2  1992   1992-3    1993   1993-4   1994   1994-5   1995        1995-1996   1996
              1996-7       1997      1997-8    1998    1998-1999   1999    1999-2000   2000         2000-1   2001   2001-2   2002
              2002-3       2003   2003-4    2004   2004-5        2005   2005-6    2006    2006-7    2007    2007-8    2008    2008-9
              2009         2009-10       2010    2010-11    2011    2011-12        2012        2012-2013       2013    2013-4    2014

                        Introduction to Tiger/Peerless Buys and Sells.
                     Different Types of TigerSoft/Peerless CHARTS, Signals and Indicators
                 How reliable support is the DJI's rising 200-day ma? 

          -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       TIGERSOFT SIGNALS AND INDICATORS:
             Documentation for TigerSoft Automatic and Optimized Signals.
                 SPY Charts since 1994: Advisory Closing Power S7s, Accum. Index, 65-dma, Optimized Signals.
                  "The Jig Is Up": Calling September and October Tops.
                 A Keynesian's Warning Signs.
                 NUGT since 2012: A study of Tiger Technicals
                 Tiger Day Traders Tool and most active Triple Leveraged ETFs
                 Advisory Pink Closing Power S7s at ETF at top since 1994
                              1994   1996  1997  1998  1999        2000 QQQ   SPY
                              DIA       2002      2007       2008       SPY 2011 2013-2014


                 Tiger Buy and Sell Signals: New 2014 Research:
                      These are randomly chosen groups.
                       but clearly we need to back-test them in more years.
                       You can replicate or do similar studies yourself
                       for other signals and/or other years.

                  9/1/2014 - 2014 Tiger B19s - Steady rallying and no pullbacks below the 21-day ma.
                       9/2/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 14As taken alphabetically
                       9/3/2014 - 2014 Tiger B17s on 60 Biotechs taken alphabetically

                 9/4/2014 - 2014 Tiger B18s on all "R" stocks taken alphabetically
*                   9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B20s     - Conclusion: Use Closing Power trendbreaks in aftermath.
                 9/8/2014 - 2014 Tiger B16s - Conclusion: Use mostly when LA/MA under 1.05.
                   9/11/2014 - 2014 Tiger B15s - Conclusion: Certain conditions improved the results dramatically.
                 9/12/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Conclusion: 87.5% success rate when other internals are positive.
                
9/15/2014 - 2014 Tiger B25s - Best conditions for using B25s with somewhat higher RSX capitalization stocks.  
                
9/16/2014 -  New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal in 2014:  14s, QQQ, DJI-30 and ETFs
                
9/17/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2009A-s
                
9/18/2014 - New Tiger Closing Power Take-Off Buy Signal: 2010A-s
                
9/21/2014 - New Tiger Augmented Sell S8s: DJI-30 - 2014
                                                       Requiring S8s to show Negative CP%-Pr and IP21<+.15 produced a 70% success rate
                                                       in a rising market for DJI-30 stocks and big ETFs.

                
9/24/2014 - Tiger Sell S14s: They make price  breakdowns very bearish.
               
1/15/2015 - Tiger Day Traders' Tool Explained.
                                         
   http://www.tigersoft.com/day-traders/index.html  
                                                           http://www.tigersoft.com/Indicators/index.htm     
                                                           http://www.tigersoftware.com/TigerBlogs/Aug-31-2009/index.html   
              NEW   2/16/2015     
                          1) New - Tiger Charts showing UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% 
                                               Note differences between bullish and bearish stocks...
                        2) New - UP%, Opening-Up%, Closing-Up% Rankings of any directory.
                        3) New - Display of what happens to a stock after various size openings up or down.
                        4) New - 6-month charts to better show volume changes and 5-day ma with bands.
                                      More profitable trading schemes coming...
 
                   Targeted Trading Opportunities:The Profits Quickly Add Up,
               
3/29/2015   Tiger CandleSticks: IBB: 2001-2015 and Recent Others.
====================================================================================
                                 
Earlier Hotlines  2-7-2014 to 3/19/2014
                                 
11-22-2014 to 2-6-2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/555HL555/index.htm
10/9/2014 - 11/21/2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/9933Hot/ 
9/2/2014   - 10/8/2014-
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/2233HL/index.html     
6/25/2013-9/1/2014
                                  http://tigersoftware.com/112211-H/index.htm
11/22/2013-3/20/2014
                                  http://tigersoft.com/1111-HL/index.html        
10/22/2013-11/21/2013
                                  
Past Hotline Predictions    http://tigersoft.com/-HL42013/index.html           
                                                                                                       http://www.tigersoft.com/-2GBL13HL/index.htm   
==============================================================================================================================