Tiger Path #4 - How To Make 25% A Year - (C)
2006 William Schmidt, Ph.D. Buy Highest Accumulation Price Breakouts above Well-Tested Resistance This is the most exciting approach to making money in the stock market. It also affronts the common sense edit of "buy low" and "sell high", because if buys "high" and sells "much higher". When using this approach it is vital to be able to correctly reckon where resistance is in a stock. TigerSoft produces an automatic Buy B10 signal that catches most of the most important breakouts. Look at our study of the best performing stocks in 2005 and see how often a Buy B10 occurred early on. Spikes of very high Accumulation before or at the time of the breakout are highly correlated with the best gainers. Look also at the charts in this study and note the AI (Accum.Index) spikes and the B12's and B24's. They are the basis of the sixth Path. . Price Resistance here means a line drawn through 3 or more peaks. This makes that price level "well-tested". The flatter the resistance, the more reliable the breakout. All stocks do have such breakouts. But those stocks having "high accumulation", as Tiger measures it, are more likely to make extended advances and so have more numerous and more powerful breakouts. It is these breakouts which the alert trader can readily capitalize on. Stocks showing high accumululation become more and more "tightly held" as they move back and forth in a trading range. Eventually, they "breakout". Prices shoot past the expected resistance. Volume rises. Shorts cover and new Buys can't wait any longer for another dip. Notice how on our charts high volume produces a red price-bars. This is a handy confirming signal. After the breakout, prices rise quickly in most cases. With stocks making all-time highs, prices can rise dramatically. Tiger's software easily finds for you all the highest Accumulation stocks at well-tested resistance or those making new high-breakouts. (This requires the TigerSoft graphing program ($295) and the Tiger-Power-Stock-Ranker ($295) Or we can find such stocks each night for $575/year and post them on the internet for you, along with an explanation of each trade. You can get all the Tiger and Peerless software, all updates for a year, all our books and a year's subscription to the Hotline Services for $995. There is some judgement required here. Nevertheless, in a strongly trending overall market this is a very profitable form of trading. The hardest part is knowing when to sell. Taking quick profits when gains reach a certain amount, 10% or 20%, is fine and it is good for the ego. But in the early stages of a general market advance, the high accumulation stocks that breakout often will move up 50% or 100% or more. Many times breakouts push stocks up to a rising upper trendline that becomes well-tested. The Tiger upper bands can be used, too. Waiting for a reversal day on the rally, where the stock closes near the lows of day on high volume or with a gap is another way to judge when to take profits. TigerSoft has many refined tools for this. Suffice it to say here, that subscribers are given ample notice when to sell, but they should not be surprised if the stock sometimes continues to rally. There will always be another stock to board. There is a risk: stocks do have "false breakouts". In these cases, the breakout fails to advance 10% from the point of breakout and then falls back below the point of breakout by 2%-3%. That is where we suggest taking a small loss. If the stock suddenly reverses and turns up smartly and makes another new high, we may buy it back. But usually we are on the look out for "well-bahaved" stocks, namely, those do not show such wild and unruly behavior. In the chart just below you can see how AAPL's stock made classic breakouts above clear-cut resistance lines. And when it did, the stock moved up sharply afterwards. This behavior is surprisingly common when the right technical conditions are present. Our software's Help Routines and our Nightly Services will help you understand these conditions so that you can eventually apply them yourself. We also recommend your getting Explosive Super Stocks by William Schmidt. |