TIGERSOFT and RSI Indicator
(c) 2013 www.tigersoft.com All rights
strictly reserve
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RSI was created by Welles Wilder in 1976. Since then, many technicians have written
about how they use this momentum oscillator. Its formula can easily be found
on the
internet and need not concern us here, except to say that it uses trading 14-days. For
example - http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:relative_strength_index_rsi
Its formula first requires the calculation of the average price gains and then losses over
14 days.calculation requires.
Wilder considered it first and foremost an over-bought (<70) and over-sold indicator
(<30).
This works well when a stock is in a trading range most of the last year. See EBAY
below.
But this is too simple. We want also to factor in the strength of the price trend
and our
internal strength indicators. Not all readings above +70 offer good points to sell
when prices
are strongly uptrending. Nor should we wait for an oversold reading (<30) to buy
if the
stock's 65-dma is rising and its internals are very good. The chart of AMAT shows
the
limitations of this tool. Exactly when the stock was strongest, at the beginning of
1995,
there were no good Buy signals, because the RSI did not fall below 30. In addition,
the non-confirmatiion Sells it offered failed until August.
See ADBE's 2013 chart below.
Instead trade the trend-breaks of the RSI downtrends when a stock shows a rising
65-dma.
Commonly, traders also derive signals from its divergences, crosses above and below 50 and
also
by its failures to produce expected rallies. Tiger users should know that we also
watch for
RSI divergences from price, particularly non-confirmations of new price highs and lows.
In
addition, we the technical patterns of RSI itself, most often mostly trading with
the trend of
the 65-dma.
RSI Divergences from Price.
Unconfirmed
Highs and Lows (NC)
.In the MCD chart below, you can see that MCD reached overbought status using our price
bands. At the same time, the RSI failed to make a new high it it own right. At
the upper band
this is a significant non-confirmation (NC) and might have been used to sell short.
See how
the RSI itself showed its own flat and well-tested resistance line here. Priced soon
fell back
below the lower band. The RSI failed to confirm the final low on this decline at 51.
One
might have used the break in the RSI down-trend to cover and even go long. The May
2009
minor new high above its level a week before was widely not-confirmed by the RSI.
You will
see Non-cofirmations (NC) by the RSI marked on a number of the charts on this page.
RSI
Patterns:
Resistance,
Support, Breakouts, Breakdowns
in the BAC chart below, see the breakdown of the well-tested RSI support
line. This was very bearish.
Trade with A Strongly Trending 65-dma
and
Use Breaks in the RSI Trendlines.