Would Be Sell S4s
February and March S4s are infrequent. Only 5 cases.
Just 2 of the 5 brought good gains of 7%.
If there is no Sell S4, the breaking of the AI 21-day ma
is more likely not to bring a good decline. In the period since
1975, there were 3 cases of good breaks in AI ma without a
Sell S4 but there were 18 instances where sell would not have
been a good idea.
No. Date Signal DJI Pct Gain Paper Loss
No. Date Signal DJI Pct Gain Paper Loss la/ma annroc PI PI-ch Adj.PI IP21 VI OBVPct 65d PctCh. ================================================================================= 16 19850208 S4 1289.97 .033 .007 1.0195 .627 370 -33.8 732.5 .072 21 -.245 .037 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 19890209 S4 2323.04 .031 None 1.0151 .525 133.1 -39.3 228.9 .088 22 .067 .093 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20 19940203 S4 3967.66 .074 None 1.0185 .517 146.2 -22.3 231.1 .151 9 .32 .073 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 21 19970207 S4 6855.8 .036 .033 1.0122 .405 72 1.1 87.8 .103 -3 .105 .127 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 26 20050308 S4 10912.47 .076 None 1.0115 .217 148.3 -126.8 200.2 .023 -54 .051 .031 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Good ones:
1987
1994
2005
BAD ONES