CASES WHERE DJI ROSE 7% in 14 TRADING DAYS:
1945-2016
(C) 2016 www.tigersoft.com William
Schmidt, Ph.D.
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88 earlier cases:
50 Bold = Bull Market Cases
24
Blue = DJI subsequent take-offs
48%
19
Red = DJI fell to lower band or lower
36%
4
Maroon = DJI went primarily sidewise
8%
3
Pink = Wild Swings Up and then down sharply
6%
Since
2000 23 cases
13
Bull Market Cases
5
DJI take-offs upwards 38.5%
3
DJI fell to lower band or lower 23.1%
1
DJI went primarily sidewise. 7.7%
4
Wild Swings Up and then down sharply
30.8%
November Cases
11/19/1954
1.03 99
.07
11/20/ 1980
1.04 -19
-.01
11/22/1996
1.04 232
.16
11/1/2000
1.04 -200
.03
11/11/2004
1.03 476
.06
11/4/2014
1.03 265
.07
11/25/2016
1.03 115
.08 Undecided...
|
11/19/1954 |
| 11/20/ 1980 |
| 11/22/1996 |
| 11/1/2000 |
| 11/11/2004 |
| 11/4/2014 |
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Month
Day
Year
LA/MA
P=I
IP21
9 7 1945 1.04 207 .25 1 15 1946 1.04 60 .15 4 6 1948 1.04 105 .15 8 4 1950 1.03 93 .07 1 8 1951 1.04 146 .13 11 19 1954 1.03 99 .07 11 15 1960 1.02 -11 .09 7 17 1962 1.01 -342 -.02 11 9 1962 1.04 -1 .08 12 16 1963 1.01 -58 -.06 10 27 1966 1.04 -17 -.03 1 18 1967 1.04 194 .1 4 10 1968 1.05 84 0 6 15 1970 1 -170 -.04 7 20 1970 1.04 -46 -.05 8 28 1970 1.04 86 .11 12 4 1970 1.05 158 .09 8 24 1971 1.04 -56 -.14 12 14 1971 1.02 133 .05 7 26 1973 1.04 201 .17 8 20 10 1 1973 1.04 271 .25 1 4 1974 1.05 94 .07 3 5 1974 1.04 114 .04 10 18 1974 1.03 100 -.08 1 6 1975 1.05 49 -.01 2 4 1975 1.06 343 .1 3 17 1975 1.04 149 .15 4 21 1975 1.05 13 .12 10 21 1975 1.03 91 .01 1 8 1976 1.06 326 .19 4 20 1978 1.05 171 .09 8 2 1978 1.05 226 .22 11 20 1980 1.04 -19 -.01 1 5 1981 1.04 18 .03 8 23 1982 1.09 52 .02 10 8 1982 1.06 145 .16 1 6 1983 1.03 36 -.1 4 26 1983 1.04 119 .15 8 3 1984 1.07 38 .16 1 23 1985 1.04 312 .12 21 40 2 10 1986 1.04 193 .18 3 27 1986 1.04 215 .06 6 6 1986 1.03 22 .2 8 26 1986 1.04 133 .18 1 15 1987 1.05 221 .21 6 22 1987 1.04 232 .15 8 11 1987 1.05 109 .24 11 6 1987 .95 -341 -.13 12 18 1987 1.04 -30 .11 2 29 1988 1.04 211 .12 6 8 1988 1.05 77 .16 5 17 1990 1.04 24 .08 1 29 1991 1.03 91 .03 12 27 1991 1.05 117 .07 2 6 1996 1.04 120 .25 11 22 1996 1.04 232 .16 4 30 1997 1.05 33 .11 12 3 1997 1.03 74 .05 2 11 1998 1.04 372 .14 10 20 1998 1.06 74 .06 36 60 11 23 1998 1.06 258 .07 1 5 1999 1.03 82 .04 3 18 1999 1.04 8 .09 4 21 1999 1.04 159 .07 3 16 2000 1.04 -242 -.07 11 1 2000 1.04 -200 .03 4 18 2001 1.07 26 .11 10 10 2001 1.03 -212 .05 11 19 2001 1.04 307 .14 3 4 2002 1.06 199 .04 8 8 2002 1.03 -271 .06 10 17 2002 1.06 -247 -.02 3 21 2003 1.07 173 .2 6 11 2003 1.04 517 .08 11 11 2004 1.03 476 .06 10 30 2008 1 -617 -.14 12 8 2008 1.05 -165 .07 3 20 2009 1.02 -62 -.09 5 8 2009 1.05 677 .07 44 80 7 28 2009 1.05 478 .26 9 20 2010 1.04 380 .1 8 30 2011 1.02 7 -.02 10 12 2011 1.03 133 .05 11 4 2014 1.03 265 .07 10 16 2015 1.03 179 .12 3 3 2016 1.03 465 .19 7 18 2016 1.03 606 .07 52 88 11 25 2016 1.03 115 .08 Undecided...