INFOCUS   10-12-2023     INDEX.htm
     
      The weakest stocks are now very vulnerable to any more
      rate hikes.  The press today made much of the CPI numbers
      and the net new Jobs not coming down and made it clear
      that the FED was expected to be raising rates one more
      time this year, just in time to dampen holiday and December
      retail buying, I would add.  

      Particularly weak today were small caps, IWM, MDY, retail stocks
      like Macy's and and the housing stocks' ETF, NAIL.   The lowest
      Power ranked in the DJI-30 were that indexes biggest lowers,
      showing their special vulnerability if the FED does not soon
      ease-up on the rate hikes.  Weakest were MCD, KO, HS, HD and HON.
      They are at the bottom of the Power Ranking table of the DJI-30
      below.

weak.JPG (474642 bytes)

      The strongest held up well.  JPM's earnings rose 35%
      over last years.  

JPM.PNG (68604 bytes)

      With the seasonality forces bearish for a month or so,
       it would seem necessary for the big tech stocks and
       their ETFs to move higher.  That puts even more
       pressure on NVDA, AAPL, MSFT and QQQ to get
       past the resistance-levels they now face.  See in the charts
       below how their Closing Powers are still uptrending.
       If they falter and show red candle-sticks at resistance,
       another test of the recent lows will become likely.

       Trade TECL by simply watching the trend of NVDA.

  

 DATA.GIF (19228 bytes)              


                            Watch DIA's Closing Power.  It has stalled at its falling 21-dma and
                             its 200-day ma.


DIA.PNG (88905 bytes)
      SPY.PNG (93237 bytes)
    COMPQX.PNG (80201 bytes)  
       QQQ.PNG (95964 bytes)
   NVDA.PNG (68855 bytes)    
   MSFT.PNG (88776 bytes)
   AAPL.PNG (73696 bytes) 

      AMZN.PNG (73928 bytes)

                                 Weak ETFs and stocks
NAIL.PNG (72124 bytes)
  M.PNG (69787 bytes)
  MCD.PNG (68684 bytes)

MMM.PNG (66239 bytes)

TAN.PNG (86197 bytes)

IWM.GIF (24791 bytes)

TNA.GIF (23573 bytes)

TNX--X.GIF (23661 bytes)
WMT.PNG (68704 bytes)