INFOCUS 10-12-2023
INDEX.htm
The weakest stocks are now very vulnerable to any more
rate hikes. The press today made much of the CPI
numbers
and the net new Jobs not coming down and made it clear
that the FED was expected to be raising rates one more
time this year, just in time to dampen holiday and December
retail buying, I would add.
Particularly weak today were small caps, IWM, MDY, retail
stocks
like Macy's and and the housing stocks' ETF, NAIL.
The lowest
Power ranked in the DJI-30 were that indexes biggest
lowers,
showing their special vulnerability if the FED does not
soon
ease-up on the rate hikes. Weakest were MCD, KO, HS,
HD and HON.
They are at the bottom of the Power Ranking table of the
DJI-30
below.
The strongest held up well. JPM's earnings rose 35%
over last years.
With the seasonality forces bearish for a month or so,
it would seem necessary for the big tech stocks and
their ETFs to move higher. That puts even more
pressure on NVDA, AAPL, MSFT and QQQ to get
past the resistance-levels they now face. See
in the charts
below how their Closing Powers are still uptrending.
If they falter and show red candle-sticks at
resistance,
another test of the recent lows will become likely.
Trade TECL by simply watching the trend of NVDA.
Watch DIA's Closing Power. It has stalled at its falling 21-dma and its 200-day ma. |
Weak
ETFs and stocks |