CALLING ALL TOPS, Real Time! Real-time, Peerless Stock Market Has Been calling major tops since 1981. After a Reversing Peerless Major Sell, the Odds are 83% the DJI will, at least, Fall to our Lower bands. And there is a 50% chance, the DJI will drop significantly below the lower band or more than 6%, and as much as 32% in less than a month. This track record was mainly made in a powerful Bull Market environment. The DJI rose from 1000 to more than 11000 during the course of our offering Peerless. That should make the 83% reliability of the reversing major Sell signals even more more impressive! Methodology: After a major PEERLESS Sell "S9" or Sell "S12" on the DJIA appears, we advise waiting for one additional condition to occur to "clinch" the major Sell. If a major Buy signal occurs first, the major Sell is not taken. In 4 cases since 1981, the major Sell was never clinched, before a new Major Peerless Buy occurred and became the operative Peerless signal. We also advise looking at the Peerless NASDAQ charts. If a Peerless NASDAQ Buy B8 signal occurs it should suppress the next Peerless Sell signals for 4 months. (One could further improve the results here by not taking reversing major Sell signals in Novmber. This would take into account the strong bullish tendency at the end of the year. This could be done, but has not been. The experience of Novembers 1980, 1983 and 2000 show that S9's in November do bring significant declines. It is true, however, that S12 signals tend not to work out in November: 1970 and 1997). Looking at the 24 cases since 1982, when Peerless was first sold, we see that where the major Sell was clinched, there were: 12 Cases where the DJI fell below or far below the lower band (50%) 8 Cases where the DJI hit the lower band but did not go appreciably lower. (33%) 4 Cases where the DJI advanced and a new major Buy closed out the Sell at a Loss. (17%)
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Reversing Major Sell Sells: (Table's numbers are
not all completed.) Subsequent Pct Next Pct. Date Signal DJIA Low before Major Buy Drop in DJIA Major Buy Drop in DJIA ------------ -------- -------- ------------------------ --------------- ----------- -------------- 1. 07/12/1982 Sell S9 824.87 hit lower band 8/12/82 776.92 831.24 -0.77% clinched 7/13/1982 824.20 2. 01/07/1983 Sell S12 1076.07 1030.17 4.3% 1030.17 4.27% clinched 1/11/1983 1083.79 hit lower band 3. 09/01/1983 Sell S9 1206.81 1132.22 clinched 9/9/1983 1239.74 fell below lower band 4. 05/01/1984 Sell S12 1182.89 4.2% 1133.79 clinched 5/4/1984 1165.31 fell below lower band 5. 10/14/1985 Sell S9 1354.73 Loss 1440.02 -6.3% clinched 10/21/1985 1357.75 6. 02/05/1986 Sell S9 1593.12 Trade not taken 1626.38 -2.09% clinched 2/19/1986 1658.28 A major B4 signal occurred before this could be clinched. 7. 06/04/1986 Sell S9 1863.29 hit lower band 1826.07 2.0% clinched same day as S9 8. 08/12/1986 Sell S9 1835.49 fell below lower band 1792.89 2.32% clinched 8/18/1986 1869.52 9. 04/03/1987 Sell S9 2390.34 hit lower band 2282.95 4.49% clinched 4/7/1987 2362.94 10. 05/06/1987 Sell S9/S12 2342.19 fell to 2215.87 on 5/20/87 (6/22/87) 2445.51 -4.4% Clinched same date as S9 hit lower band 11. 10/01/1987 Sell S9 2639.2 fell far below lower band 1738.74 34.12% clinched 10/5/1987 2640.18 12. 10/03/1989 Sell S9 2754.56 fell below lower band 2657.38 3.53% clinched 10/10/1989 2785.33 13. 07/13/1990 Sell S9 2980.20 fell far below lower band 2452.97 17.69% clinched 7/17/1990 2999.75 14. 10/19/1994 Sell S9 3936.04 hit 3677.99 11/22/04 3973.05 -0.94% clinched 10/20/1994 3911.15 hit lower band 15. 01/29/1996 Sell S9 5304.98 Trade not taken. 5405.06 -1.89% Not clinched before a major Buy B18 signal. 16. 08/02/1996 Sell S9 5679.83 Loss 5838.52 -2.79% clinched 8/5/1996 5674.28 17. 01/10/1997 Sell S9 6703.79 Trade not taken. 6850.03 -2.18% clinched 1/22/97 6850.03 This was not clinched before there was a major Buy B4 Signal 18. 02/14/1997 Sell S9 6988.96 fell below lower band (B18 -NO) 7000.89 -0.17% clinched 2/20/97 6927.38 19. 04/22/1997 Sell S9
6833.59 Loss
7214.49 -5.57% 21. 11/20/1997 Sell S12
7826.61 Trade not taken -
(Nasdaq B8)
8295.61 -5.99% 22 2/2/98
Sell S9 8107.78 Trade not taken ==================================================================================
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