What happens when Closing Power is in uptrend
   and Opening Power is falling for QQQ?


   In 3 of 5 cases, the QQQ rallies 5% to 8%. In these cases a CP uptrned break brings only a
    minor decline.

  
When the CP uptrend breaks with the QQQ unable to get much past the 21-day ma,
   or stalls at 65-dma resistance, it if falls sharply, as Professionals quickly reverse positions.



                    Size of rally            When CP uptrend broke
--------------------------------------------------------
June 2002 -   to falling 21-dma    QQQ fell from 28 to 22 in a month.
May 2003    27 to 29                  QQQ fell only to rising 21-dma
Sept 2003    33.5 to 34.5             34 to 32 in a week
July 2005      37.5 to 40                39.5 to 38.5
October 2006 40.5 to 44                44 to 43
Aug 2008      small                        big decline
Sept  2008    small                         big decline
March 2011  initial decline              recovery and small gain

 

qqq02.jpg (72796 bytes)
qqq03.jpg (75656 bytes)
qqq05.jpg (80446 bytes)
qqq06.jpg (81651 bytes)
qqq08.jpg (76833 bytes)
qqq11.jpg (88763 bytes)