IWM  - Candle Stick Chart - 10/25/2011                       

IWMCAN.BMP (1920054 bytes)
         Tiger/Peerless Charts
             ======= 10/25/2011
  =======  
                            
   
             Pct of Stocks over 65-dma  - Daily Change
                 
                10/25//2011      10/24//2011        10/14//2011        10/4//2011              9/21/2011        9/14/2011                          
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Military Stocks            93%                 93% +3%          67%
   +11%     11% +4% 
Bond Funds                 86%
+4%          82% -2%          77% +8%          81%  -9%             89%  +2%         88%  -1%     
QQQ-100 stocks          80%
-4%           84% +9%          69%    +3%      11%  +3%             25% -12%         34% +12%
Auto Stocks                 76% +7%           69% +23%  
    61%  +21%         13%    +8%           8% -8%           18%  +7%            
SP-500 stocks             76% -11%          87%  +13%       57%  +10%       10%   +3%            18% -12%         32% +8%              
DJI-30 stocks              74%
-13%        87%  +7%         53%   +13%      13%  +3%              33% +2%          13% +3%      
Utility Stocks              70% -13%          83% +13%        67%    +6%       20% +6%              43% -13%          46%  +20%   
Transport Stocks        69%
-5%           74%  +4%         58%   +20%        2% +1%                 5% -3%             9% +4%    
Retails                         65% -5%            70% +13%       57% +4%       
Homebuilding            63%
-12%         75%  +17%       25%                   0%                        0%   -4%           4%  -4%           
Computer Eq              61% -10%         71% +15% 
Oil stocks                   54%
  -10%         64%   +14%     37%   +12%           6%  +2%           15% -6%            24% +10%       
BestREITs                  53%
-14%          67%  + 27%      7%                     0%                        7% -18%           53%  -14% 
Finance Stocks          50% -23%         73%  +13%       36%                  14%+11%              12%  -8%            19% +5%
==========================================================================================        

Biotech (XBI/ IBB)     40%  -20%         60%   +7%       60%                   40% +11%             43% -19%           29% 
Ind. Materials           39%  -13%          52%  +11%      32%   +10% 
Green Stks                33% -8%             41%  -+13%     26%    +6%          5%   0%          
Food Commodities   20% -20%            40%  
+10%      30%                   23%   -4%              43% -12%          64%
Foreign ETFs' Stocks  25% -9%            34% 
+11%      16%    +6%          2%                         2%                   2%               
Chinese Stocks          32% -1%             33%
  +8%        20%    +6%           6% -2%                 14% -1%            19%   +4%       
Gold/Silver Stks        20%
+ 4%           16%  +12%      10%   -1%  
 
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     DIA

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   DOW STOCKS
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QQQ  
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SPY 
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   SP500 STOCKS
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  DOLLAR
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INTEREST RATES

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GOLD   Futures Perpetual and ETF
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GOLD STOCKS,
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SILVER    


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Crude Oil and USO OIL ETF

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  Index of Oil Stocks
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FOREIGN ETFS
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FINANCE STOCKS
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    Tiger Index of Food Commodities
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BONDS
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IND MATERIALS
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CORRECTIONS IN A BULL MARKET

       Since 1929, there have been 11 bull markets lasting more than 24 months without a
       DJI decline of more than 13.5%.  In that time, there were 27 cases of  8%-13.5% declines
       that puncutated these long advances, like we are now in.  A decline of more than
       13.5% was always bearish, in that it always led to a much deeper bear market.s.  It
       seems reasonable to use a CLOSING SELL STOP 13.6% below the highest DJI close.
       Here that would be at 11050.  


               Corrections in the 11 Longest DJI Advances since 1928

              1.       7/26/34 - 3/10/1937   30 months
                        Feb-March 1935 10% decline (There was a Sell S12 in January 1935 and Buy B5 at bottom).
                        March-April 1936 12% decline (There was a Sell S12 in March 1936 at top and B2 at bottom.)
                        March-June 1937 15% decline (Sell S9 at top and B8 at bottom.)
                      
              2.      4/28/42 - 5/29/46    49 months
                      
July 1943-November 1943 11% decline(June 1943 Sell S9.  November 194 Buy B9

              3.          9/14/53 -  7/12/57   46 months
                       Sept 1955-October1955 10% decline (Sell S4 at top.  Buy B17 at bottom.)
                       April 1956-May 1956  10% decline (Sell S2 at top. Buy B19 at bottom.)
                       August 1956-Nov 1956   11% decline (Sell S2 at top. Buy B2 in October.)

              4.     10/21/57 -     1/5/60   26 months
                       August 1959-Sept 1969  9% decline (Sell S4 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)

              5.   10/23/62 -  1/5/66  38 months
                       May 1965-June 1965  11% decline (Sell S8 at top. Buy B10 in August after the bottom.)

              6.    7/24/84 -  8/25/87  37 months
                       July 1986-Aug 1984  9% decline (Sell S9 before top. Buy B17 in July before the bottom.)
                       Sept 1986-Sept 1984  9% decline (Sell S9 before top. Buy B17 just before the bottom.)
                       April 1987-May 1987  9% decline (Sell S9  at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)

             7.
  12/4/87 -  7/17/90    32 months
                       Oct 1989-Oct 1989  9% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                       Jan 1990-Jan 1990  9% decline (Sell S4/S15 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                       Aug 1987 - November 1987  35% decline (Sell S9/S12 at top. Buy B9 at the bottom.)

             8.    12/4/87 -  7/17/90    32 months
                       Oct 1989-Oct 1989  9% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                       Jan 1990-Jan 1990  9% decline (Sell S4/S15 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)  
                       2.2% declines: 1991 1 ok 3 bad, 1992 2 bad                      

              9.   10/11/90 -  7/15/98  93 months
                     
Jun 1992-Oct 1992  8% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                      Jan 1994-April 1994  11% decline (Sell S4 at top. Buy B19 at the bottom.)
                      May 1996-July 1996  8% decline (Sell S1 at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                      March 1997-April 1997 10% decline (no sell signal at top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                      July 1997 - October 1997 13.5% decline (Sell S12 in September after top. Buy B1/B17 at the bottom.)
                      END July 1998 - October 1998 20% decline (Sell S9/S12 at top. Buy B9 at the bottom.)
                     
2.2% declines: 1991 1 ok 1 bad,  1993: 1 bad, 1994: 1 OK, 1 bad, 1996 2 bad, 1997 2 ok 4 bad.1998

             10. 3/12/2003 -  10/9/07  51 months  
                    
Feb 2004-Oct 1994 9% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B2/B9 at the bottom.)
                     May 2007-July 2007  8% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B9 at the bottom.)
                     July 2007-Aug 2007  9% decline (Sell S9 at top. Buy B14 two weeks after the bottom.)
                     October 2007-November 2007  10% decline (Sell S4 at top. Buy B1 a week before the bottom.)
                    END December 2007-February 2009 Bear Market 51% Decline. Sell S9/S12 at top
                    2.2% declines: 2003 1 ok, 2007 5 ok.
              11.   3/9/2009 -  4/29/2011  25.5 months
                    
Jan 2010-Feb 2010  8% decline (Sell S9 2 months before top. Buy B17 at the bottom.)
                    END April 2010 - June 2010  13.5% decline (no sell signal at top Buy B8 at the bottom.)
                     2.2% declines These failed to predict a decline in 13 cases.  They accurately predicted a decline only 2x..