Tiger's Path to Stock Market Profits:
             Predicting The Stock Market
             and Safefy Riding the Major Trend
                                   7/2/2011 - William Schmidt, Ph.D.

1) News Environment: Investor Sentiment: How Market Reacts
    Greek General Strike, Widespread Bearishness but Market    
    Rallied Monday. 
        May 19 2011 Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, jumped 5.8 percentage points to 41.3%. This is the highest level of pessimism since September 2, 2010. It is also the 12th time in 13 weeks that bearish sentiment has been above its historical average of 30%.
      AAII Survey - http://wallstcheatsheet.com/trading/aaii-sentiment-survey-investor-pessimism-is-at-another-high.html/

          Mutual Funds Suffer 6th Straight Week Of Outflows (07/01/11)
                             http://www.sentimentrader.com/

2) Professionals versus Public Buying/Selling

3) Seasonality: June Gloom, Summer Bloom: July-August

     21 trading-days after April 30 - DJI is up 47.8% of time since 1965  MAY weak
     21 trading-days after May 31 - DJI is up 47.8% of time since 1965 JUNE weak
     21  trading-days after June 30 - DJI is up 54.3% of time since 1965   JULY rising
      21  trading-days after July 31 - DJI is up 57.8% of time since 1965  AUGUST strong
       21  trading-days after August 31 - DJI is up 35.6% of time since 1965   September Weak

                                      PEERLESS
    
4) Presidential 4 Year Cycle ---> Peerless
      July and August rise more than 60% of the time and June is Up, too

5) Chart Patterns and MA Support/Resistance ---> Peerless

6) Peerless Buys and Sells.

7) Peerless Internal Strength Indicators, P-I, A/D Line, IP21 (AI)


8) Industry Strength   ---> Tiger
     Defensive - (Biotechs) near a top
     Cycle (Autos) - Bullish
     Weakest China
                                     
                 Pct of Stocks over 65-dma  - Daily Change
                                          7/1/2011                6/27/2011               6/20/2011                    6/13/2011                       6/6/2011   
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------              ----------------
S Bond Funds                     92% +2%                    90% -1%                  85% +1%                88% -4%                         94% +1%
B REIT Stocks                      82% +5%                  32% +5%                68%  +13%              59% +4%                       74%   -4%
B DJI-30 stocks                    80%   +10%               13%  +2%                23%                        23% +3%                       37% -3%           
               highest AI = CVX    AI/200=184   
B  Biotech (XBI and IBB)   79% +8%                   50% +7%               50%                        57%                               64%  -4%   
B Utility Stocks                   76%                           51% +4%                57% +8%                 44% +4%                        51%   -8% 
B Auto Stocks                     68%                          54%                        14%   +6%                19%   -3%                       24%             
B SP-500 stocks                   66%   +11%               31% +5%               31%  +5%                25%  +1%                      31%    -6%                 
               BCR 108.67 AI/200=193     #2 LH 96.5 AI/200=191 up off 65-dma
B  QQQ-100 stocks              64% +10%                 33% +8%                25%  +5%                28%  -1%                        38%   -7%  
B  Gaming Stocks               64%    +14%              29% --7%                29%  +8%                14%                               36%  -7%  
B  Industrial Materials        57%  +6%                 30% +9%                20%    +4%                22% +1%                       24%     -7%          
B Finance Stocks                53%   +9%                 32%  +8%               30%  +6%                 21%   +7%                       23%     -3%   
B Foreign ETFs' Stocks        53% +16%               10%+2%                   3%                          10%    -5%                      34%    -16%  
B  Transportation Stocks     50%  +9%                 26% +4%                 17%  +1%                 11%    -2%                        21%     -7%

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
S Homebuilding Stocks      46% +17%                33%   +12%               13%    +5%                 4%                                  4%    -17%
S Green Stocks                   44% +12%               17%                          12%                        11%   -5%                        16%     -9%        
S Food Commodities          42% +6%                  27% -9%                   36% +9%                   55%                               55%  
S Food Commodities           42% +6%                  27% -9%                   36% +9%                   55%                               55%  
B  Retail stocks   .                36%   +9%                   27%                           23%                         14%                               18%    -13%   
B  Oil stocks                         36%  +5%                17% +1%                  12%  -6%                  16%   -10%                      42% +6%  
B Chinese Stocks                27% +7%                  14% +2%                 7%                           7%   -5%                          11%    -7%
S Gold Stocks                     18%  -1%                    8  +2%                    10%                         14% +7%                      15%     -8%  

   





9) Tiger and Tiger Power Ranker Stock Selection
      Buy Bullish MAXCPs (CP NH plus Accumulualtion) - CPHD
      Sell Short MINCPs (CP NL plus Distribution) - SEED
        See also APWR, CAAS, CGA, CSKI, HRBN
        but not all - See ATAI, BIDU, CYDU

                                http://www.tigersoft.com