APPLIED TO SP-500 STOCKS
31 Years: January 16, 1980- March 24, 2011
(C) 2011 www.tigersoft.com
There were 62 long Peerless trades between January 1980 and
March 24, 2011. Here they are applied to all the stocks in the
current SP-500 that have traded continously since then, more than 200.
In calculating this, we superimposed our DJIA based Peerless signals
on the back data for these SP-500 stocks. See AA for example.
There were 62 trades, reversing Buy signal to next Sell, in the 31
year period. So, on average, there were two long trades a year.
The average gain show in the second column is the average gain
per trade. We have set out in heavier Blue those stocks where the average
gain was greater than 20% (.20)per trade. Thus, each AAPL trade averaged
a gain of 22%.
The next column shows the percentage of Peerless long trades with a
particular stock were profitable. We have set out in heavy green,
those stocks where more than 80% of Peerless trades were profitable.
A high rate of success is not the best approach. 85% of the trades
with GIS were profitable but the average gain per trade was only
9%.
A better way to evaluate Peerless is to compare how well it did
over the 31 year period, where money is fully re-invested in the stock
with each new reversing buy signal after a Sell and compare thodr
gains, which are shown in the column second from the right,
with the gains if one had simply held the stock over the 31 year period.
The gains simply buying and hold for 31 years is shown in the last column
in the report below.
.
When making this comparison, note that dividends were not factored in
the gains shown Peerless trading or simply buying and holding. Taxes
are not considered. If one is trading in a Retirement Account,
taxes are postponed and multiple trades would not matter.
It was assumed that commissions and slippage amounted to 2% per
buy and sell using Peerless. As there were only 2 trades a year
on average, this is not much of a factor.
AAPL, of course, has been a star performer in this period. $1000
invested in it in 1980, when it went public, would have been turned
into $94,193 in 2011. But using Peerless and fully re-investing
the proceeds with each new reversing Peerless Buy would have turned
the $10,000 into $11,071,733. Here are the trades for AAPL.
Other big gainers were TER where $10,000 became 15873852
and DHR, where $10,000 would have become $10,701,188,
Investing in GPS would have turned $10,000 into $4,845,748. Huge
gains were made in home builders, LEN and PHM: $16,319,786 and
$5,318,273.
HOW BUYING ON PEERLESS BUYS AND
SELLING ON PEERLESS SELLS WOULD HAVE BENEFITTED
A RETIREMENT ACCOUNT WHERE $1000 WAS ORIGINALLY
INVESTED IN A GIVEN STOCK: 1980 - 2011
Stock Avg Gain Pct of $1000 $1000
per Peerless Peerless Originally bought and
Long Trades Invested. held.
Trade Profitable 2% commission (Dividends not
assumed per counted.
trade A 5% dividend on $1000
re-invested would
add up to 4321 30 years
later)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AA .15 .69 822197 4716
AAPL .22 .72 11071733 94193
ABT .11 .72 109850 42963
ADI .18 .66 1314807 65945
ADM .11 .75 134232 19603
ADP .13 .77 323169 54103
AEE .05 .67 5293 2669
AEP .05 .67 4771 2123
AET .1 .72 64164 9464
AFL .17 .66 606560 218583
AMAT .21 .67 5341557 156288
AMD .25 .61 4028932 2730
APA .09 .59 19092 19912
APD .15 .82 921911 20530
AVP .11 .69 94848 6656
AVY .14 .74 404024 17627
AXP .17 .8 2541403 24204
AYE .07 .67 6611 3772
BA .14 .7 395751 13301
BAC .16 .74 961357 9708
BAX .1 .75 67905 11181
BCR .12 .75 164614 89701
BDX .11 .75 80020 42461
BHI .11 .7 62106 2435
BK .14 .75 340052 22876
BLL .12 .75 199633 52694
BMS .12 .79 213262 41261
BMY .1 .75 91532 13238
CAG .12 .72 180969 36688
CAT .13 .72 318715 18171
CB .14 .82 650800 34418
CEG .07 .66 11191 5000
CI .13 .77 318202 12591
CINF .11 .69 84922 32073
CL .11 .77 190094 50738
CLX .12 .74 186628 64760
CMCSA .14 .66 245354 53674
CMI .17 .66 1251276 27609
CMS .08 .74 30204 1172
CNP .06 .59 6487 1842
COP .08 .72 28584 10415
CPB .09 .74 49971 20335
CSC .14 .74 317297 15578
CSX .14 .77 441133 37027
CTL .13 .75 292624 46006
CVS .11 .69 107219 25018
CVX .06 .72 10788 11906
D .04 .69 4194 9283
DD .13 .74 307790 9646
DE .14 .75 698465 17694
DHR .2 .82 10701188 504607
DIS .16 .8 1165456 48663
DNB .1 .75 104027 45572
DOV .14 .77 825089 29307
DOW .14 .72 350853 5285
DTE .05 .62 5249 4219
DUK .06 .7 7204 8299
ECL .11 .79 157614 43277
ED .06 .64 7341 9699
EFX .14 .74 472706 80567
EIX .06 .67 9747 6605
EK .06 .69 5715 148
EMR .12 .8 293650 22086
EQT .1 .7 69306 39882
ETN .14 .7 435041 27936
EXC .05 .67 5188 6679
F .17 .69 666657 11512
FDO .18 .64 527735 178517
FDX .16 .7 757951 27904
FE .06 .7 7310 2996
FLS .14 .7 294418 11748
FMC .15 .82 1260060 61825
FO .12 .8 171113 12954
FRX .16 .72 768839 199102
GAS .05 .7 5530 3521
GCI .16 .61 278247 3493
GD .11 .75 83073 18202
GE .15 .8 1057352 20051
GIS .09 .85 43676 33743
GLW .18 .69 577747 11443
GPC .09 .75 39753 12477
GPS .29 .67 4845748 595135
GR .15 .75 641827 9354
GT .22 .74 2934378 2641
GWW .13 .82 429653 37252
HAL .12 .62 44746 3906
HAS .17 .7 501757 312297
HBAN .13 .67 142757 6598
HCN .06 .67 10040 7568
HES .08 .62 15175 10380
HNZ .1 .75 63672 23708
HON .13 .74 174288 7557
HOT .12 .67 37133 1024
HPQ .17 .75 1160618 27714
HRB .12 .74 154629 22489
HRL .11 .8 101689 52832
HRS .11 .74 95722 6496
HST .15 .75 494169 22973
HSY .11 .75 109862 64052
HUM .14 .74 345095 13729
IBM .12 .75 157335 10793
IFF .12 .75 209195 10658
INTC .17 .69 969890 61859
IP .12 .79 197465 3098
IPG .13 .61 182951 15146
ITW .15 .8 903497 80043
JCI .13 .72 224542 40960
JCP .12 .62 123275 6554
JEC .2 .74 6089005 90660
JNJ .11 .8 131007 42397
JPM .15 .75 407507 9053
JWN .2 .72 6154230 44719
K .09 .67 30442 26420
KLAC .19 .56 2581521 39520
KMB .1 .69 64847 24856
KO .13 .74 256114 52723
KR .11 .79 139282 39166
L .17 .75 1774866 63913
LEG .15 .69 546938 47252
LEN .26 .7 16319786 41317
LLY .11 .74 76431 11163
LNC .18 .74 983216 6504
LOW .17 .7 1067062 145000
LTD .27 .67 18366993 258770
LUK .18 .72 1053893 509000
LUV .15 .66 364902 70169
MAS .14 .66 284535 5168
MAT .15 .61 194032 12143
MCD .13 .77 234373 81542
MDP .13 .77 248478 24167
MEE .16 .72 363870 9719
MHP .13 .7 375962 24363
MKC .1 .69 79828 30190
MMC .12 .77 137427 11855
MMM .1 .83 133640 15436
MO .14 .74 403484 87406
MRK .13 .75 253369 19457
MTB .16 .74 788642 314363
MUR .08 .64 17396 9509
MWV .14 .79 464201 5395
MYL .21 .72 2403271 392142
NBL .08 .69 13145 12778
NBR .12 .59 17315 2948
NEM .07 .54 6009 3560
NI .03 .62 1630 3179
NKE .17 .74 1292943 77220
NOC .09 .67 23371 8769
NSC .13 .8 507439 22977
NSM .14 .58 60701 3938
NTRS .13 .74 264549 50199
NU .06 .67 7205 4345
NUE .17 .75 1849745 58010
NWL .18 .72 2130021 36056
NYT .12 .66 111257 5652
OKE .09 .7 35506 14093
OMC .12 .72 271641 30495
OXY .08 .7 21241 8519
PBI .11 .67 68610 12797
PCAR .15 .77 781351 45750
PCG .06 .67 5502 4280
PEG .06 .67 7258 5751
PEP .11 .83 145065 55392
PFE .11 .69 80503 28661
PG .1 .8 65897 30934
PGN .05 .69 5831 5669
PGR .15 .66 556678 356206
PH .15 .79 1220954 26404
PHM .23 .69 5318273 39361
PKI .13 .72 277415 8308
PLL .13 .64 214390 22234
PNW .06 .64 8593 2760
PPG .13 .75 300962 26157
PPL .06 .74 8887 5961
PSA .07 .69 13567 7487
R .14 .7 424226 8286
RDC .15 .72 181604 3825
ROK .15 .69 567991 35940
RRD .13 .7 297202 5650
RSH .14 .67 168117 6820
S .08 .66 18847 1354
SCG .05 .69 4820 6164
SEE .18 .72 848243 29841
SHW .15 .77 715892 97417
SIAL .12 .79 183089 81585
SLB .11 .64 62908 7964
SLE .12 .74 179416 31520
SNA .11 .75 152497 8723
SO .05 .64 5405 11214
STJ .17 .69 1820228 127132
STR .09 .74 38960 26381
STT .21 .77 7549965 226787
SUN .09 .69 33237 4552
SWK .14 .80 722440 14358
SWN .1 .62 36664 58312
SYK .22 .82 17021514 626020
SYY .12 .75 272730 127272
TAP .08 .59 16471 6882
TE .06 .74 7300 4976
TER .24 .72 15873852 7753
TGT .15 .72 719352 61044
THC .16 .69 250137 2988
TJX .18 .79 1382552 442321
TLAB .19 .66 970358 5090
TMK .14 .77 341296 46379
TMO .17 .74 1120830 25532
TRV .12 .80 265158 14495
TSN .21 .67 718023 90047
TSO .12 .58 42584 2737
TXN .14 .7 245569 19101
TXT .15 .7 510488 10219
UNP .1 .75 78678 13957
USB .15 .7 392258 61511
UTX .13 .77 443158 30453
VAR .13 .80 315710 73035
VFC .15 .69 398146 73637
VIA .18 .7 2110220 29450
VLO .13 .62 154243 6989
VMC .11 .74 172713 14977
VNO .13 .74 241542 78242
WAG .14 .67 489981 190574
WDC .16 .58 139567 14891
WEC .06 .72 8832 13577
WFC .15 .79 681157 39019
WHR .14 .69 311146 10343
WMB .15 .77 295078 5895
WMT .18 .74 2681693 456991
WPO .1 .72 64531 24711
WY .13 .75 282239 3352
X .14 .77 333485 4067
XEL .05 .69 4908 4861
XOM .08 .82 40678 22938
XRX .13 .77 120024 1128
ZION .12 .62 96955 12170